Gyeonggi is a razor-thin margin with a 0.1%p difference... Seoul shows overwhelming dominance by Oh
'Former and current return match' in Incheon: Park Namchun 36.3%, Yoo Jeongbok 41.5%

Kim Dong-yeon, Democratic Party of Korea candidate for Seoul mayor (left), Kim Eun-hye, People Power Party candidate for Seoul mayor (right) [Image source=Yonhap News]

Kim Dong-yeon, Democratic Party of Korea candidate for Seoul mayor (left), Kim Eun-hye, People Power Party candidate for Seoul mayor (right) [Image source=Yonhap News]

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[Asia Economy Reporter Yoon Seul-gi] In the Gyeonggi Province governor election, the biggest battleground of the June 1 local elections, a poll released on the 1st showed a razor-thin race with Democratic Party candidate Kim Dong-yeon and People Power Party candidate Kim Eun-hye separated by just 0.1 percentage points (p).


A telephone survey conducted by Hankyoreh Gallup on behalf of JoongAng Ilbo from April 29 to 30 targeted 1,058 men and women aged 18 and over in Gyeonggi Province. Candidate Kim Dong-yeon recorded a support rate of 42.6%, while candidate Kim Eun-hye had 42.7%.


By generation, Kim Eun-hye led among those aged 60 and over, while Kim Dong-yeon was ahead among those in their 20s to 40s. The 50s age group was neck and neck. Kim Dong-yeon led by more than 10 percentage points in the 20s (Kim Dong-yeon 42.0%, Kim Eun-hye 31.0%) and 30s (Kim Dong-yeon 46.2%, Kim Eun-hye 35.6%), and showed overwhelming dominance in the 40s (Kim Dong-yeon 57.7%, Kim Eun-hye 26.7%), where Democratic Party support is strongest.


On the other hand, in the 50s, Kim Dong-yeon had 45.3% and Kim Eun-hye 43.5%, showing a close race. Among those aged 60 and over, Kim Dong-yeon was at 26.0%, but Kim Eun-hye recorded a 67.4% support rate, leading by a 41.4 percentage point gap.


By gender, men showed stronger support for Kim Eun-hye, while women favored Kim Dong-yeon. Among men, Kim Dong-yeon had 39.7% and Kim Eun-hye 45.6%, with Kim Eun-hye leading by 5.9 percentage points. Among women, Kim Dong-yeon had 45.4% and Kim Eun-hye 39.7%, with Kim Dong-yeon ahead by 5.7 percentage points.


Song Young-gil, candidate for Seoul mayor (left), and Oh Se-hoon, Seoul mayor (right), are talking ahead of the '10th Seoul Economic Forum' held on the morning of the 14th at the Fairmont Hotel in Yeouido, Seoul.

Song Young-gil, candidate for Seoul mayor (left), and Oh Se-hoon, Seoul mayor (right), are talking ahead of the '10th Seoul Economic Forum' held on the morning of the 14th at the Fairmont Hotel in Yeouido, Seoul.

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In Seoul, Mayor Oh Se-hoon recorded 54.6%, while Democratic Party candidate Song Young-gil had 32.7%. The gap between the two candidates was 21.9 percentage points. Justice Party candidate Kwon Soo-jung recorded 3.6%.


By generation, Song narrowly led among those in their 40s (Song 45.3%, Mayor Oh 44.5%), but Mayor Oh showed dominance in other age groups. Especially among the 20s and 30s, Mayor Oh had a significant lead. Among those in their 20s, Mayor Oh had 45.3% and Song 25.8%, and among those in their 30s, Mayor Oh had 52.8% and Song 33.7%.


Among centrists, Mayor Oh led with 54.3%, while Song had 31.0%. The Seoul mayoral election survey was conducted among 1,006 men and women aged 18 and over living in Seoul.


In Incheon, where a rematch between former and current mayors took place, Mayor Park Nam-chun had 36.3%, and People Power Party candidate Yoo Jeong-bok had 41.5%, with Yoo leading within the margin of error. Justice Party candidate Lee Jeong-mi recorded 5.0% support.


By generation, Mayor Park led among those in their 20s (Park 35.0%, Yoo 29.7%), while candidate Yoo had higher support among those in their 30s (Park 37.4%, Yoo 38.8%). In the 40s, Mayor Park led by a 24.9 percentage point margin, and in the 50s, Yoo led by 2.4 percentage points. Among those aged 60 and over, Yoo had a significant lead of 37.5 percentage points. The Incheon mayoral election survey was conducted among 853 men and women aged 18 and over residing in Incheon.



This survey was conducted using a telephone interview method combining random digit dialing (RDD) for landlines and virtual numbers for mobile phones. The proportions were Seoul 15.6% landline and 84.4% mobile, Gyeonggi 14.3% landline and 85.7% mobile, and Incheon 14.2% landline and 85.8% mobile. The sampling error at a 95% confidence level was ±3.1 percentage points for Seoul, ±3.0 percentage points for Gyeonggi, and ±3.4 percentage points for Incheon. For more detailed information, please refer to the National Election Survey Deliberation Commission website.


This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.

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