Biden Falls Behind Trump in Battleground States if a Third Candidate Emerges
In the upcoming 2024 U.S. presidential election, if a Green Party candidate runs, there is a forecast that President Joe Biden could lose to former President Donald Trump in Michigan, one of the battleground states.
Emerson College announced on the 4th (local time) that in a poll conducted on April 1-2 among 1,121 Michigan voters, when Green Party candidate Cornell West was added to the two hypothetical candidates, former President Trump received 43% support, while President Biden received 41%. West was found to have 4% support.
In a hypothetical two-way race excluding West, President Biden and former President Trump were tied at 44% each.
Michigan is one of the regions classified as part of the "Rust Belt" and is considered a key battleground state that determines the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. Since 1980, except for two elections (2000 and 2004), the candidate who won Michigan was elected U.S. president.
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The U.S. Democratic Party is concerned that the emergence of a third candidate could lead to a repeat of the 2016 election scenario. In the 2016 U.S. presidential election, Green Party candidate Jill Stein ran and is considered to have split the Democratic vote.
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