Despite Austerity, US Retail Sales Rise 1.3%... Largest Increase in 8 Months
[Asia Economy New York=Special Correspondent Joselgina] Despite the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes, October retail sales saw the largest increase in eight months.
According to the U.S. Department of Commerce on the 16th (local time), October retail sales rose 1.3% compared to the same month last year. This exceeded expert forecasts (1.0%) and marked the highest growth rate in the past eight months since February this year (1.7%). Core retail sales, excluding gasoline and automobiles, increased by 0.9% compared to the previous month.
By category, consumers spent more money on daily necessities such as gasoline, groceries, and dining out. They also spent significantly on high-priced items like automobiles and furniture. Economists noted that some purchases, such as building materials and household furniture, were influenced by the aftermath of Hurricane Ian.
This strong retail sales performance is notable as it comes amid U.S. inflation still approaching a 40-year high and growing concerns about economic slowdown and recession. It sends a message that household consumption demand remains robust. The retail sales indicator has been one of the key metrics investors watch to understand the real economy's response to the Fed's recent tightening measures.
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However, considering that retailers have entered discount mode early ahead of the year-end shopping season, some analysts suggest that the strong October retail sales may lead to reduced spending at the end of the year. Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup, said, "Consumers may be shopping earlier," adding, "This shifts spending from November and December to October." Retail giant Target announced that its fourth-quarter sales could decline by a low single-digit percentage compared to the previous year.
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