Park Chan-dae "Lee Jae-myung's Arrest? Less Than 5% Chance"

Yeo 최고위원, KBS Radio Interview
"If the Warrant Is Dismissed, the Regime Itself Will Be Shaken"

On the 18th, Park Chan-dae, a member of the Democratic Party of Korea, claimed, "The prosecution will not be able to issue a warrant during the National Assembly's recess period because they lack confidence," adding, "It's not that they are not issuing it, but that they cannot." Lee Jae-myung, the leader of the Democratic Party who appeared before the prosecution the previous day, demanded, "Give up the trick of seeking division and conflict by requesting a warrant during the session and boldly request it during the recess."

On the same day, Park appeared on KBS Radio's 'Choi Kyung-young's Strongest Current Affairs' and focused on the timing of the prosecution's warrant request. He argued that if a warrant is requested during the National Assembly session, there could be a political motive to induce factional conflicts within the party over the approval or rejection of the arrest consent motion.

Park said, "If there is a political motive, they will not be able to issue the warrant during the recess," warning, "Once a warrant is issued, a substantive review begins immediately, and if it is dismissed, it will not be a problem of the prosecution but the regime itself will be shaken."

When asked about the possibility of issuing a warrant and arresting Lee Jae-myung, Park responded, "The possibility of issuing a warrant is reasonably low. In my view, the probability of issuing a warrant is 10%," and "The likelihood of arrest is less than 5%." He added, "I believe the possibility of the party leader being arrested is very slim. Nevertheless, this regime is so reckless that there are many actions that deviate from common sense. Therefore, despite the slim possibility, I personally feel worried and concerned."

Park Chan-dae, member of the Democratic Party of Korea. [Photo by Yonhap News]

He also pointed out, "When the arrest consent motion was submitted to the National Assembly last time, it was linked with Seongnam FC and Daejang-dong, but if you look at the contents of the motion, there was no evidence of the crime at all, and it hardly satisfied the elements of the offense."

He continued, "This time, it seems possible that the warrant will be issued by linking the Baekhyeon-dong case and Ssangbangwool's remittance to North Korea," and questioned, "Regarding the part where Lee Jae-myung allegedly made remittances to North Korea for Gyeonggi Province and that it was reported and consulted in advance, the facts have not been clarified at all, and it seems to rely solely on the testimony of former Gyeonggi Province Peace Deputy Governor Lee Hwa-young."

Furthermore, he said, "We need to see how things unfold at the trial on the 22nd," adding, "Many legal experts believe that it is difficult to issue a warrant, and especially at the trial, the prosecution's chances of winning are considered very low."

Park stated, "I have no expectation or confidence that they will win through this trial, but it seems that the prosecution is engaging in political acts as a way to shake the Democratic Party ahead of next year's general election."

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.