"US-China Leaders' Call: Deadlock Between Two Countries Unlikely to Be Resolved"

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[Asia Economy Reporter Kim Hyunjung] As U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping prepare for a phone call after more than four months, analysis suggests that this single call will not resolve the deadlock in bilateral relations.

On the 28th, Hong Kong's South China Morning Post (SCMP) anticipated that the two leaders would have their fifth direct exchange, but predicted that new tensions would continue due to U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's planned visit to Taiwan.

Lucian, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), stated, "Speaker Pelosi's visit to Taiwan will shake the current status of cross-strait (China and Taiwan) relations and usher the current game into a new phase," and predicted that President Biden would say during the call that he could not stop Pelosi's decision. He emphasized, "Any agreements reached during the call could be nullified by Pelosi's visit to Taiwan."

Zhu Feng, director of the International Studies Institute at Nanjing University, pointed out the need for an agreement on cross-strait relations within the U.S., saying, "Biden will claim that Pelosi is out of control, but then who will take responsibility for China-U.S. relations?" Zhu added, "If Speaker Pelosi visits Taiwan, cooperation on related cross-strait issues will become impossible."

Su Yinghong, professor of International Relations at Beijing Renmin University, said, "(In the scheduled call) President Biden will reiterate the U.S. position of the 'One China' policy and 'strategic ambiguity,'" and predicted, "President Xi will warn against support for Taiwan." Professor Su added, "Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, relations between the two countries have deteriorated, making it very difficult to find breakthroughs even on tariff issues."

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.