Opposition Unification Suitability: Ahn 39.6% > Yoon 35.6%
If Unified, Whether Yoon or Ahn, Lee Leads

[Asia Economy Reporter Oh Ju-yeon] A poll released on the 12th showed that Yoon Seok-yeol, the presidential candidate of the People Power Party, holds a lead over Lee Jae-myung, the presidential candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, within the margin of error. This survey is notable as it was conducted on the 10th and 11th, after the internal conflicts within the People Power Party had been resolved. Although there was a significant loss of support mainly among the 2030 generation around the end of last year and the beginning of this year due to conflicts with Representative Lee Jun-seok, recent consecutive policy announcements have helped to regroup the support base, which is interpreted as having influenced the current voter sentiment.

Yoon Seok-yeol, Has Supporter Reunification Begun... Yoon 39.2%, Lee 36.9%, Ahn 12.2% [Realmeter] View original image


On that day, Realmeter conducted a survey commissioned by YTN targeting 1,011 men and women nationwide aged 18 and older on the 10th and 11th (with a 95% confidence level and a margin of error of ±3.1 percentage points). The results showed that Yoon’s approval rating was ahead within the margin of error. Yoon’s support rate was 39.2%, down 0.9 percentage points from the previous survey (December 20-21, 2021), while Lee’s was 36.9%, down 0.1 percentage points. The gap between the two candidates’ support rates was 2.2 percentage points.


Ahn Cheol-soo, the presidential candidate of the People’s Party, saw a sharp rise of 8 percentage points, reaching 12.2%. Following him were Sim Sang-jung, the presidential candidate of the Justice Party, at 3.0%, and Kim Dong-yeon, the preparatory committee chairman of the New Wave Party, at 1.1%. The percentage of respondents who said they did not support any candidate decreased to 4.2% from 8.0% in the previous survey, and those who were unsure dropped from 2.8% to 1.5%.



Regarding the unification between Yoon and Ahn, 39.6% responded that they should unify behind Ahn, which was ahead of Yoon’s 35.6% within the margin of error.

Yoon Seok-yeol, Has Supporter Reunification Begun... Yoon 39.2%, Lee 36.9%, Ahn 12.2% [Realmeter] View original image


Additionally, in the event of unification between Yoon and Ahn, the results showed that whichever candidate is chosen would have higher support than Lee. If unified behind Yoon, Yoon’s support rate would be 43.6%, ahead of Lee’s 38.1% within the margin of error. If unified behind Ahn, Ahn’s support rate would be 42.3%, while Lee’s would be 33.2%, showing a clear lead outside the margin of error.

Yoon Seok-yeol, Has Supporter Reunification Begun... Yoon 39.2%, Lee 36.9%, Ahn 12.2% [Realmeter] View original image

Yoon Seok-yeol, Has Supporter Reunification Begun... Yoon 39.2%, Lee 36.9%, Ahn 12.2% [Realmeter] View original image


For more detailed information, please refer to the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission or the Realmeter website.


This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.

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