Lee Jae-myung Widens Gap with Yoon... If Unified, Ahn 35.9% vs Yoon 32.5% [Realmeter]

Lee Jae-myung 40.1%, Yoon Seok-youl 34.1%, Ahn Cheol-soo 11.1%, Shim Sang-jung 2.8%
Ahn 35.9% vs Yoon 32.5% if Yoon-Ahn unite

[Asia Economy Reporter Oh Ju-yeon] A poll released on the 10th showed that Lee Jae-myung, the Democratic Party of Korea's presidential candidate, leads Yoon Seok-youl, the People Power Party candidate, beyond the margin of error in the next presidential candidate approval rating survey. Unlike the previous survey where both candidates' approval ratings declined simultaneously, Ahn Cheol-soo, the People's Party candidate, surged, raising his approval rating to double digits. It is being evaluated that Ahn is entering the 'three-strong troika system' he had promised while the People Power Party was experiencing internal strife earlier this year.

According to the results of a survey conducted by Realmeter commissioned by OhmyNews from the 2nd to the 7th among 3,042 people aged 18 and over nationwide (with a sampling error of ±1.8 percentage points at a 95% confidence level), Lee recorded 40.1%, leading Yoon's 34.1% beyond the margin of error. The gap between the two candidates' approval ratings was 6.0 percentage points, marking the first time since Realmeter conducted a four-way race that Lee led Yoon beyond the margin of error.

Ahn ranked third with 11.1%, followed by Sim Sang-jung of the Justice Party at 2.8%. Ahn's approval rating was 6.6% in the previous survey but surged by 4.5 percentage points in this survey, marking the first time double-digit approval ratings appeared in surveys conducted by this institution.

In particular, looking at daily changes, it can be seen that approval rating fluctuations were significant around the time when the conflict between People Power Party leader Lee Jun-seok and candidate Yoon was sharply confrontational. Until December 30-31 last year, Yoon's approval rating was in the high 39% range, but it plummeted to 30.8% on the 6th when the impeachment crisis of Lee arose, then rebounded to 33.9% on the 7th after reconciliation.

During this period, Ahn's rising trend is notable. Ahn's approval rating, which was in the low 7% range on December 30-31, began to rise in the first week of January and reached 13.5% on the last day of the survey, the 7th.

Meanwhile, when asked which candidate they would support if opposition candidates unified, Ahn received 35.9% and Yoon 32.5%, showing Ahn held a slight lead within the margin of error. However, when looking only at conservative voters separately, Yoon was dominant beyond the margin of error.

Among 805 respondents who identified as 'ideological conservatives,' 35.1% chose Ahn and 47.6% chose Yoon in the Yoon-Ahn unified candidate support survey.

The response rate for this survey was 7.6%, and detailed information can be found on the Realmeter website or the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.