[AKyeong Poll] Yoon Seok-yeol Overtaken by Lee Jae-myung... Reversed by 0.5%P Margin

Repeated Gaffes Like '120-Hour Workweek' and 'Contaminated Food'
Negatives Including 'DUI Record' and 'Gang Involvement Allegations'
Both Candidates Decline Together... Former Prosecutor General Yoon's Drop Is Larger

[Asia Economy Reporter Koo Chae-eun] Former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol lost the leading position to Gyeonggi Governor Lee Jae-myung, resulting in a poll that shakes the so-called 'Yoon Seok-yeol trend.'

Both candidates' support rates were eroded by Yoon's consecutive gaffes such as '120-hour workweek' and 'contaminated food,' and Lee's negatives like 'drunk driving record' and 'gangster involvement rumors.' However, Yoon's drop from the previous week (2.6 percentage points, 43.9% → 41.3%) was larger than Lee's (0.6 percentage points, 42.4% → 41.8%), allowing Lee to surpass Yoon.

According to a poll conducted by Asia Economy through Win-G Korea Consulting on the 7th and 8th, in a hypothetical match-up between Yoon and Lee, Lee received 41.8% support while Yoon had 41.3%. The gap between the two was 0.5 percentage points, within the margin of error.

Although overtaken within the margin of error, looking at age groups, Yoon led Lee in all age groups except for those in their 40s and 50s. Among the 'youth' aged 18-29, Yoon had 45.3% support compared to Lee's 26.8%, a gap of 18.5 percentage points. In their 30s, Yoon (40.3%) also led Lee (38.4%). In the 60s and 70+ age groups, Yoon and Lee showed differences exceeding 10 percentage points with 51.9% vs. 39.8% and 49.1% vs. 29.1%, respectively. Conversely, in the 40s and 50s, Lee led with 60.5% and 50.1% compared to Yoon's 26.4% and 39.2%, respectively.

Regionally, each showed strength in their respective strongholds. In Daegu and Gyeongbuk, Yoon led with 60.6% to Lee's 27.6%. In Seoul, Yoon had 48.2% support versus Lee's 32.9%. Conversely, in Gwangju and Jeolla, Lee led with 47.9% compared to Yoon's 23.6%. In Gyeonggi-Incheon and Daejeon-Sejong-Chungcheong, Lee also led with 47.0% and 49.1% respectively, compared to Yoon's 39.5% and 41.6%.

Among Democratic Party supporters, 72.3% backed Lee Jae-myung, while 90.4% of People Power Party supporters supported Yoon Seok-yeol, showing a higher consolidation among People Power Party supporters.

This survey was conducted by Asia Economy through Win-G Korea Consulting targeting nationwide voters aged 18 and over on the 7th and 8th. A total of 1,006 responded, with an overall response rate of 7.0%. The survey method was wireless ARS using 100% mobile phone virtual numbers. The sample was extracted with weighted values by gender, age, and region based on the resident registration population as of the end of January 2021 (cell weighting). The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For detailed survey information, refer to the Win-G Korea Consulting website or the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.