Half of Confirmed Cases Are Delta Variant... "Could Exceed 90%"
Explosive Spread, Accelerated Dominant Variant Period
On the 27th, when the dual hardships of the COVID-19 surge and heatwave were rampant, Tongin Market in Jongno-gu, Seoul was quiet. Photo by Moon Honam munonam@
View original image[Asia Economy Reporter Seo So-jeong] As one in two domestic COVID-19 confirmed cases is infected with the 'Delta' variant, experts have warned that by the end of next month, the Delta variant could account for up to 90% of all cases.
According to the quarantine authorities on the 27th, the Delta variant was detected in 48.0% of domestic COVID-19 confirmed cases over the past week (June 18?24), and it is expected to exceed 50% this week. The detection rate of the Delta variant was only 3.3% in the fourth week of June (June 20?26), but it has explosively increased within a month.
In particular, it is highly likely that the Delta variant has become the dominant strain amid the recent surge of COVID-19 cases outside the metropolitan area.
Initially, authorities anticipated the Delta variant to become dominant in August, but this has effectively been brought forward by nearly a month. The India-origin Delta variant is 1.64 times more transmissible than the UK-origin 'Alpha' variant, and the risk of hospitalization among confirmed cases is 2.26 times higher.
Professor Jeong Ki-seok of Hallym University Sacred Heart Hospital (former director of the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency) emphasized, "If this trend continues, the Delta variant will account for 90% of all cases by the end of August," adding, "With the Delta detection rate increasing by 10 percentage points per week domestically, we must tighten quarantine measures even further."
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Meanwhile, as of midnight on the same day, the number of new COVID-19 confirmed cases was 1,365, marking the third consecutive week of four-digit figures. Notably, 505 cases were reported outside the metropolitan area, accounting for nearly 40% of domestically transmitted cases.
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