Yoon Seok-yeol in the 30% Range vs. Rising Lee Jae-myung, 5%p Gap... Lee Nak-yeon Sees Double-Digit Rebound [Realmeter]

Yoon Seok-yeol 30.5%, Lee Jae-myung 25.3%, Lee Nak-yeon 11.1%

[Asia Economy Reporter Oh Ju-yeon] In the preference survey for the next presidential candidate, former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol maintained a support rate in the 30% range, continuing to hold first place outside the margin of error for three consecutive months. However, the recent three-month trend showed a contrast, with former Prosecutor General Yoon on a downward trend while Gyeonggi Province Governor Lee Jae-myung showed an upward trend.

On the 27th, Realmeter, commissioned by OhmyNews, conducted a preference survey for the next presidential candidate among 14 major politicians from both ruling and opposition parties. Former Prosecutor General Yoon recorded 30.5%, down 1.5 percentage points from the April survey a month ago, maintaining first place. Gyeonggi Province Governor Lee Jae-myung rose 1.5 percentage points to 25.3%, marking the highest level for two consecutive months and securing second place. The gap between first and second place narrowed from 8.2 percentage points last month to 5.2 percentage points, which is outside the margin of error (±2.2%P).

Former Prosecutor General Yoon recorded an overwhelming lead with a 34.4% support rate in the March survey. During the same period, Governor Lee was at 21.4%, with the gap between first and second place exceeding 10 percentage points. However, since then, Yoon's support rate has shown a downward trend for two consecutive months, dropping to 32.0% in April.

By region, the most notable declines were in Incheon·Gyeonggi (26.5%) and Daegu·Gyeongbuk (38.8%), each falling 5.2 percentage points and 4.6 percentage points respectively compared to the April survey. By age group, support dropped 3.8 percentage points among those in their 40s (21.1%) and 2.6 percentage points among those aged 70 and above (33.4%). By ideological inclination, support declined evenly, falling 1.8 percentage points among centrists (35.8%), and 1.1 percentage points each among conservatives (47.3%) and progressives (8.5%).

On the other hand, Governor Lee started at 21.4% in March and has shown an upward trend for two consecutive months, rising to 23.8% in April and 25.3% in May. By region, the largest increase was in Gwangju·Jeolla (33.3%), rising 4.9 percentage points, and support also increased by 2.5 percentage points and 4.2 percentage points in Incheon·Gyeonggi (30.5%) and Daegu·Gyeongbuk (18.8%), where former Prosecutor General Yoon's support declined.

By age group, the largest increases were among those in their 40s (42.4%) and those aged 70 and above (15.4%), each rising 6.6 percentage points.

Former party leader Lee Nak-yeon also saw a double-digit increase in support in this survey, rebounding after three months. Lee recorded 11.1%, up 2.1 percentage points from the previous month, securing third place. Support increased across most demographics, with regional increases of 4.8 percentage points in Daejeon·Sejong·Chungcheong (13.0%) and 4.0 percentage points in Incheon·Gyeonggi (11.4%).

Following were Representative Hong Joon-pyo, maintaining fourth place with a 0.4 percentage point increase to 5.4%, former Prime Minister Chung Sye-kyun (3.8%), Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon (3.4%), former Justice Party leader Shim Sang-jung (2.8%), People's Party leader Ahn Cheol-soo (2.8%), Representative Lee Kwang-jae (2.1%), former Representative Yoo Seung-min (2.0%), former Deputy Prime Minister Kim Dong-yeon (1.0%), Jeju Governor Won Hee-ryong (0.9%), Representative Park Yong-jin (0.5%), and Chungnam Governor Yang Seung-jo (0.5%). 'Other figures' accounted for 1.6%, 'None' 3.6%, and 'Don't know' 2.7%.

This survey was conducted over two days from the 24th to the 25th, targeting 2,004 men and women aged 18 and over nationwide. The sampling error is ±2.2 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For detailed survey outlines and results, refer to the Realmeter or the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission websites.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.