Biden's North Korea Policy Appears After 100 Days... Experts Call It a Model of Balance
"Keep Options Open"... "Diplomacy Will Lead Approach to North Korea"
[Asia Economy Reporter Onyu Lim] On the 30th (local time), marking 100 days since Joe Biden's U.S. administration took office, the administration unveiled its North Korea policy. Experts evaluated it as striking a balance between previous administrations' policies while keeping future options open.
Since it is difficult to assess based solely on the broad stance announced that day, some views emphasized paying attention to how the policy will be concretized and negotiated going forward.
Patrick Cronin, Director of the Asia-Pacific Security Program at the Hudson Institute, said, "After careful consideration, the administration chose to keep its options open without sacrificing the interests of the U.S. or its allies," calling it "a classic example of balance."
Jeffrey Lewis of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies reserved immediate judgment on Twitter, saying, "Is it good? Is it bad? It's hard to say."
However, he noted the use of the term "complete" denuclearization, stating, "It seems like a useful way to show that our expectations for denuclearization may differ from North Korea's expectations."
Daniel DePetris, a researcher at Defense Priorities, tweeted that "It is difficult to comment wisely without the details of the strategy being disclosed."
There were also calls for specific methodologies, such as ways to bring North Korea to the negotiating table.
Harry Kazianis, Korea Director at the Center for the National Interest, said, "The Biden administration should have issued a much more formal policy announcement," adding, "At this point, there is no way to gauge whether a true balance between the engagement of the Trump era and the strategic patience of the Obama era will be achieved."
He added, "Diplomacy will certainly lead the Biden administration's approach to North Korea, but we have no idea what that actually means."
For example, it is unclear whether North Korea should take the first step in terms of concessions on its nuclear program, whether the Biden administration is willing to work step-by-step on phased denuclearization negotiations, or what role it would play if new or strengthened sanctions enforcement is implemented.
Frank Um, Senior Researcher at the Peace Research Institute, tweeted, "A coordinated approach toward North Korea is not a new path," comparing it to past nuclear freeze agreements, the Six-Party Talks, and efforts made when former President Trump sought partial sanctions relief at the Hanoi North Korea-U.S. summit.
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He emphasized, "It can work if North Korea comes to the table, but the problem is how."
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