Oh Se-hoon Leads Park Young-sun Even Without Opposition Candidate Unification

'Within Margin of Error in Three-Way Race'
Oh Se-hoon 35.6% Park Young-sun 33.3% Ahn Cheol-soo 25.1%

[Asia Economy Reporter Naju-seok] A poll released on the 15th showed that even if the April 7 Seoul mayoral by-election develops into a multi-candidate race, Oh Se-hoon, the People Power Party candidate, holds a lead within the margin of error. This indicates that he can lead even without the unification of opposition candidates.

According to a poll conducted by Realmeter commissioned by Munhwa Ilbo from the 13th to 14th among 1,030 Seoul adults (landline and mobile ARS, 95% confidence level with ±3.1% margin of error, rim weighting method), Oh received 35.6% in a hypothetical three-way race, leading Park Young-sun, the Democratic Party Seoul mayoral candidate, who had 33.3%, by 2.3 percentage points. Ahn Cheol-soo, the People’s Party Seoul mayoral candidate, received 25.1%.

In the preference survey for a unified opposition candidate, Oh also led. Oh received 39.3%, ahead of Ahn’s 32.8%.

If the opposition candidates unify and a two-way race unfolds, the unified opposition candidate was found to lead Park by a wide margin. In a hypothetical two-way race, Oh received 54.5%, leading Park’s 37.4% by 17.1 percentage points, and Ahn received 55.3%, leading Park’s 37.8% by 17.5 percentage points.

For detailed information on the poll, please refer to the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website and others.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.