Corona Loan Maturity 115 Trillion Won... Financial Sector Struggles to Find a Soft Landing Exit (Comprehensive)
Support Loans for SMEs and Small Businesses, Grace Period Ends in March Next Year
Financial Authorities Hint at Extension... Financial Sector Also Agrees on Necessity
Calls for Risk Diversification Through Long-Term Principal and Interest Installments
[Asia Economy Reporter Jo Gang-wook] Financial authorities are reportedly leaning toward effectively extending the debt repayment deferral measures for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) and small business owners, which are set to expire in March next year, raising concerns within the financial sector. Although the delinquency rate of domestic banks has only slightly increased despite the prolonged COVID-19 pandemic, this is pointed out as a 'visual illusion.' Some argue that even if loan maturities are extended, interest payments should still be made to disperse risk.
According to the Financial Services Commission on the 24th, the total amount of loans extended for maturity in the financial sector to support SMEs and small business owners affected by COVID-19 from February to early this month, a period of about 10 months, exceeds 115 trillion won. Additionally, new loans have surpassed 91 trillion won. Among these, the amount of maturity extensions at commercial banks is 77.7 trillion won, and new loans amount to 48.7 trillion won, accounting for the majority. During this period, including policy financial institutions and the secondary financial sector, the total new loans and loan maturity extensions across the entire financial sector amount to 206.8 trillion won, with guarantee support at 54.3 trillion won, bringing the total support amount to 261.1 trillion won.
Financial authorities are currently deliberating on whether to end the COVID-19 financial support measures for SMEs and small business owners. Initially, the measures were extended once and were scheduled to expire from March this year to March next year, but recently, due to the resurgence of COVID-19, there has been a strong call for an exit strategy to ensure a smooth transition. Financial Services Commission Chairman Eun Sung-soo also hinted at the possibility of re-extension on the 14th, stating, "A smooth transition plan that allows time to adapt is necessary." The financial authorities plan to gather opinions from the financial sector, industry, and experts starting January next year to prepare a smooth transition plan for the financial support measures.
The financial sector also agrees on the necessity of such a smooth transition. However, there are opinions that while extending loan maturities, the financial support measures should encourage long-term installment repayment of principal and interest. There are also suggestions that depending on the repayment ability of SMEs, corporate improvement procedures (workouts) or rehabilitation processes should be conducted. The argument is that SMEs with repayment ability should repay the principal and interest in long-term installments, while those without should undergo restructuring.
However, there is skepticism regarding the extension of interest deferral measures. It is understood that the current scale of interest repayment deferrals in the financial sector is approaching 1 trillion won. About half of this amount is accounted for by the five major commercial banks. There is concern that if interest repayment deferrals continue to sustain marginal companies, a 'bad debt tsunami' phenomenon could occur, where latent bad debts suddenly surface all at once. It is reported that commercial banks conveyed these concerns during a non-face-to-face participation in the 'COVID-19 Response Policy Evaluation Meeting' chaired by the Financial Services Commission Chairman on the 21st.
According to the Financial Supervisory Service, as of the end of October, the delinquency rate on won-denominated loans at domestic banks was 0.34%, up 0.04 percentage points from the end of the previous month. Compared to the same month last year, it is 0.12 percentage points lower. However, this figure does not reflect the delinquency levels of SMEs and self-employed individuals pushed to the limit. Due to loan maturity extensions and interest repayment deferrals, unpaid interest is classified as 'normal repayment,' causing a 'visual illusion.'
The ratio of non-performing loans has also decreased. As of the end of the third quarter, the non-performing loan ratio of domestic banks was recorded at 0.65%, down 0.06 percentage points from three months earlier and 0.2 percentage points from a year ago. This is the lowest level ever recorded for the proportion of loans overdue by more than three months and at risk of default among loans extended to companies and households by banks.
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A financial sector official said, "Borrowers who are unable to repay continue to have their loan terms extended, so on the surface, these are normal loans, but in reality, they are non-performing loans," adding, "To prevent bad debts from transferring to banks and to ensure a smooth transition, restructuring of marginal companies sustained by extending interest deferrals is now necessary."
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