[Akyeong Poll] Lee Jae-myung 41.7% vs Yoo Seung-min 32.2%ㆍLee Jae-myung 45.8% vs Hong Joon-pyo 29.8%

Conservative Opposition Shows 'Shortage of Figures'

(From left) Representative Yoo Seung-min, Governor Lee Jae-myung, Representative Hong Joon-pyo [Image source=Yonhap News]

[Asia Economy Reporter Lim Chun-han] Lee Jae-myung, Governor of Gyeonggi Province and a leading presidential candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, is shown to be far ahead of former People Power Party lawmaker Yoo Seung-min and independent lawmaker Hong Joon-pyo in a hypothetical head-to-head presidential election poll. This result is analyzed as reflecting the current state of the conservative opposition, which is suffering from a 'shortage of prominent figures.'

According to a poll conducted by Asia Economy through Win-G Korea Consulting from the 28th to 29th of last month targeting 1,000 voters aged 18 and over nationwide (100% mobile phone virtual numbers, automated response), when asked "If Lee Jae-myung and Yoo Seung-min run in the next presidential election, whom would you support?" Lee received 41.7%, Yoo 32.2%, with Lee leading by 9.5 percentage points.

Among Democratic Party supporters, Lee received 69.1%, Yoo 16.9%, and other candidates 7.1%. Among People Power Party supporters, Yoo received 57.2%, other candidates 17.8%, and Lee 15.5%. Meanwhile, among non-affiliated voters, Lee and Yoo were neck and neck, with Lee slightly ahead. Support among non-affiliated voters was 31.2% for Lee, 28.9% for Yoo, and 10.2% for other candidates. Lee led Yoo across all gender and age groups, and regionally, Lee was ahead in all areas except Daegu and North Gyeongsang (TK). In TK, Yoo's support was 42.6%, significantly surpassing Lee's 26.8%.

The gap widened in a hypothetical match-up between Lee and Hong. When asked "If Lee Jae-myung and Hong Joon-pyo run in the next presidential election, whom would you support?" Lee received 45.8%, Hong 29.8%, with Lee leading by 16 percentage points.

Among Democratic Party supporters, Lee received 72.2%, Hong 14.2%, and other candidates 6.9%. Among People Power Party supporters, Hong received 58.1%, Lee 18.4%, and other candidates 15.4%. The gap remained among non-affiliated voters as well, with Lee at 35.0%, Hong at 26.7%, and other candidates at 11.2%. Lee led Hong across all gender and age groups, and regionally, Lee was ahead in all areas except Busan, Ulsan, and South Gyeongsang (PK). In PK, Hong had 39.6%, Lee 38.6%, with Hong slightly ahead within the margin of error.

Yoo and Hong ranked second and third respectively in a poll on preferred next presidential candidates among opposition parties conducted on the 15th-16th of last month, following Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-youl. In the same poll, Yoon was in a close race within the margin of error against Lee in a hypothetical match-up.

This survey was conducted nationwide among voters aged 18 and over on the 28th-29th of last month, with an overall response rate of 11.4% and 1,000 respondents. The survey method was wireless ARS using 100% mobile phone virtual numbers. The sample was extracted with weighting by gender, age, and region based on the resident registration population as of the end of October 2020 from the Ministry of the Interior and Safety (cell weighting). The sampling error is ±3.09 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For detailed survey information, refer to the Win-G Korea Consulting website or the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.