Democratic and United Support Rates, 0.5%p Difference... Momentarily Surpassed [Realmeter]

[Asia Economy Reporter Kang Nahum] The gap in approval ratings between the Democratic Party of Korea and the United Future Party has further narrowed. At one point, the United Future Party even surpassed the Democratic Party in daily approval ratings. The Democratic Party continued to experience defections among its core support base of people in their 30s and 40s and women, while the United Future Party saw a significant rise in Honam, a traditionally barren area for them.

According to a poll conducted by Realmeter on behalf of YTN from the 3rd to the 7th, the Democratic Party's support rate dropped by 3.2 percentage points from the previous week's aggregate to 35.1%, while the United Future Party's support rose by 2.9 percentage points to 34.6%, as announced on the 10th. The gap between the two parties' approval ratings is within the margin of error at 0.5 percentage points.

The Democratic Party's approval rating noticeably declined among its core support groups: women (35.7%, down 3.9 percentage points), people in their 40s (41.6%, down 7.9 percentage points), and people in their 30s (39.6%, down 6.1 percentage points). The drop was also significant in the Seoul metropolitan area of Gyeonggi and Incheon (36.2%, down 6.4 percentage points). In contrast, the United Future Party showed a steady increase across regions, genders, and age groups. Support also rose in Gwangju and Jeolla (18.7%, up 6.0 percentage points).

Notably, in daily approval ratings on the 5th, the Democratic Party recorded 34.3%, while the United Future Party recorded 36.0%, showing a brief overtaking by the United Future Party. This coincided with the government’s announcement to lower the monthly rent conversion rate.

Realmeter analyzed this trend by stating, "There was a sentiment of check and criticism against concerns of a one-party dominance following the launch of the ruling party, and amid this, the United Future Party’s approval rating, which had been stagnant for a long time, strongly broke through the upper limit of the box range, using Rep. Yoon Hee-sook’s plenary session speech as momentum."

Support rates for other parties were as follows: Justice Party 4.8%, Open Democratic Party 4.0%, and People's Party 2.6%.

Meanwhile, President Moon Jae-in’s approval rating for his administration also fell by 2.5 percentage points from the previous week to 43.9%. Negative evaluations rose by 3.0 percentage points to 52.4%.

The survey contacted 55,923 voters aged 18 and over nationwide, with a final response of 2,520 people, recording a response rate of 4.5%. The sampling error is ±2.0 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For more details, refer to the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.