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We Need to Reverse the Trend for Increases in Consumption, Marriage, and Childbirth

If Housing Prices Stabilize

The Burden of Housing Costs on Households Will Be Eased

Not Only Will Consumption Recover

But Conditions for Marriage and Childbirth May Also Improve

According to a Recent Analysis.

70% of Domestic Household AssetsConcentrated in Real Estate
Rising House Prices Widen Asset GapsLeading to Increased Housing Cost Burdens
Household Consumption Contraction andImpact Across the Economy
70% of Domestic Household Assets
Concentrated in Real Estate
Rising House Prices Widen Asset Gaps
Leading to Increased Housing Cost Burdens
Household Consumption Contraction and
Impact Across the Economy

What Will Change If Housing Prices Stabilize

On March 8, the Shinhan Future Strategy Research Institute of Shinhan Financial Group published a report titled "What Will Change If Housing Prices Stabilize." The report analyzed that, given the structure in which about 70% of household assets in South Korea are concentrated in real estate, rising housing prices widen the asset gap and increase the burden of housing costs. These effects, in turn, can contract household consumption and ultimately impact the entire economy.


The institute especially noted that a reduction in the burden of housing costs is highly likely to bring changes to consumption patterns. Since consumption contraction is relatively more pronounced among young and middle-aged adults when housing prices rise, stabilization of prices could allow these age groups to recover their consumption capacity. It also explained that spending on future investments, such as education and self-development, would likely increase, leading to positive changes in overall economic activity.


As Housing Prices Rise, Consumption ContractsConversely, Stability Allows for RecoveryYouth Investing in Themselves for the FuturePositive Effects Across Overall Economic Activity
Impacting Marriage and ChildbirthLowering Barriers to Marriage through Housing Stabilityand Even Improving Childbirth Conditions
Increase in Seed Money Among YouthExpansion of Demand for Financial Products Such as Savings
As Housing Prices Rise, Consumption Contracts
Conversely, Stability Allows for Recovery
Youth Investing in Themselves for the Future
Positive Effects Across Overall Economic Activity
Impacting Marriage and Childbirth
Lowering Barriers to Marriage through Housing Stability
and Even Improving Childbirth Conditions
Increase in Seed Money Among Youth
Expansion of Demand for Financial Products Such as Savings

Potential to Lower the 'Marriage Equals Homeownership' Barrier

There is also a forecast that housing prices could affect marriage and childbirth trends. In Korean society, where the perception of "marriage equals homeownership" is strong, easing the burden of housing costs could lower the economic barrier to marriage. As a result, the intention to marry among unmarried young adults is more likely to lead to actual marriages, and stable housing conditions are expected to have a positive impact on childbirth conditions as well.


The report also projected that stabilization of housing prices could bring changes to the structure of the financial market. Among young adults and newlywed couples, an increase in available funds could lead to greater demand for financial products related to initial asset formation, such as savings accounts or investment products. In contrast, among the elderly, there may be increased demand for downsizing from larger to smaller homes, utilizing home pensions, and financial products related to inheritance and gifting.


A representative from the Shinhan Future Strategy Research Institute emphasized, "Easing the burden of housing costs can bring about positive changes for households, including the recovery of consumption and improved conditions for marriage and childbirth," adding, "The financial sector also needs to strengthen its role in supporting households with asset formation and economic activity."


We Need to Reverse the Trend for Increases in Consumption, Marriage, and Childbirth 원본보기 아이콘

Ultimately, the message is that a drop in housing prices is necessary for the economy to revive.

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