North Korea Launches ICBM over East Sea... U.S. Reconnaissance Aircraft Responds
On the 12th, North Korea launched a ballistic missile, presumed to be an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM), into the East Sea. This ballistic missile launch is the first in 27 days since North Korea fired missiles in protest against the South Korea-U.S. joint combined firepower destruction exercise on the 15th of last month, and it is the first ICBM launch in 90 days since the April 13 launch of the solid-fuel ICBM Hwasong-18. North Korea, which has criticized U.S. reconnaissance activities, appears to have demonstrated its ICBM capability capable of directly striking the United States as a show of force.
The Joint Chiefs of Staff stated on the same day, "Our military detected one long-range ballistic missile presumed to have been launched from the Pyongyang area toward the East Sea around 10 a.m. today," adding, "Our military is strengthening surveillance and vigilance, maintaining full readiness in close cooperation between South Korea and the U.S."
This ballistic missile launch is analyzed as a provocation targeting the routine reconnaissance flights of U.S. military reconnaissance aircraft over international airspace. North Korea issued three statements over two days, on the 10th and 11th, condemning U.S. reconnaissance aircraft activities.
In a statement from the Ministry of Defense released on the morning of the 10th, North Korea threatened, "There is no guarantee anywhere that a shocking incident of a U.S. Air Force strategic reconnaissance aircraft being shot down over the East Sea of Korea will not occur." Kim Yo-jong, Deputy Director of the Workers' Party, who issued statements on the night of the 10th and early morning of the 11th, also hinted at military action, saying, "The U.S. military will experience very dangerous flights."
However, the South Korean military dismissed North Korea's statements, saying, "The flights of U.S. aerial surveillance and reconnaissance assets around the Korean Peninsula are routine reconnaissance activities," and called the North Korean statements "not worth considering."
In particular, the Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) that Kim Yo-jong claimed was violated is generally considered international waters where the right of innocent passage (the right of ships to navigate freely as long as they do not threaten the safety and order of the coastal state) is recognized, leading to criticism that raising issues about it lacks persuasiveness.
North Korea's ICBM launch is also analyzed as an intentional move to raise tensions ahead of the July 27 Armistice Agreement Day, which is celebrated as 'Victory Day,' aiming to strengthen internal unity.
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Shin Jong-woo, Secretary General of the Korea Defense and Security Forum, said, "After North Korea's failed reconnaissance satellite launch at the end of May, the regime appears to have built a pretext for provocation with verbal threats and then shifted the situation by launching an ICBM, a card to pressure the U.S."
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