King Dollar and Demand Slowdown... US November Trade Deficit Down 21%
Exports Declined Due to Strong Dollar, but Import Prices Also ↓
WSJ "Additional Signs of Global Economic Slowdown"
[Asia Economy Reporter Kwon Haeyoung] The United States' trade deficit has fallen to its lowest level in two years. Due to the strong dollar (King Dollar), interest rate hikes, and reduced demand in overseas markets, along with a decline in U.S. import prices, the trade deficit has significantly narrowed. The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) reported, "Another signal of the global economic slowdown has emerged."
The U.S. Department of Commerce announced on the 5th (local time) that the trade deficit in goods and services for November last year was $61.5 billion, a 21% decrease compared to the previous month. This monthly decline is the largest since February 2009.
Exports were recorded at $251.9 billion, down 2% from the previous month, due to weakened demand for U.S.-made products such as aircraft, food, and telecommunications equipment. Imports fell by 6.4% from the previous month to $313.4 billion, showing a larger decrease than exports.
The reduction in the U.S. trade deficit is analyzed to be due to the strong dollar. Although the dollar's value growth slowed in the fourth quarter of last year, the rally throughout the year caused the prices of U.S. exports to rise, leading to a decrease in exports. At the same time, prices of foreign imports relatively declined, lowering U.S. import prices.
Reduced consumer spending by Americans is also cited as a cause for the shrinking trade deficit. High inflation and rapid interest rate hikes by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) have decreased consumers' purchasing power, leading to reduced spending during the Thanksgiving holiday period. In fact, U.S. retail sales in November last year fell by 0.6% compared to the previous month. Manufacturing output also declined in the same month, and home sales have contracted for ten consecutive months, indicating signs of economic contraction. Amid recession concerns, global consumer demand has also weakened. The World Trade Organization (WTO) projected that global trade growth last year would be 1.0%, significantly down from 3.5% the previous year.
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The WSJ analyzed, "Due to the effects of high inflation and interest rate hikes, U.S. imports have decreased more than exports," adding, "This is another sign that economic activity in the U.S. is cooling due to the Fed's rapid interest rate increases."
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