PGA Tour Birdie Probability: Fairway 22%, Rough 15%
Fowler, Persie, Moore Birdie Probability↑ 'Rough Masters'
Answer, Nespies, Smurthman Birdie Probability↓ 'Rough Weaklings'

Ian Poulter is the golfer who makes the most birdies from the rough.

Ian Poulter is the golfer who makes the most birdies from the rough.

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[Asia Economy Reporter Nowrae Noh] 'Rough' is an area on the golf course that players generally want to avoid. As shot techniques and equipment have advanced, increasing players' driving distances, tournament organizers have been raising the difficulty of the rough to enhance differentiation.

Even world-class players fear long roughs. This is evident from the 2021-2022 season results of the PGA Tour. When players keep the ball on the fairway, the probability of making a birdie is 22%, but it drops sharply to 15% when the ball lands in the rough. This is because precise shots become difficult, and sometimes the goal is simply to escape the rough.


Some players are particularly strong in the rough.

Ian Poulter (England) is a master of the rough. His shot statistics prove this. When hitting from the fairway, his birdie probability is 21.38%, but it rises to 22.11% in the rough. Poulter has won 3 times on the PGA Tour and 12 times on the DP World Tour (formerly the European Tour). He is known for his excellent performance in match play and is also called the 'fashionista of the field' due to his flashy fashion. He currently plays in the LIV Golf Invitational Series, supported by Saudi Arabian capital.


Cameron Percy (Australia) also had a higher birdie probability from the rough. Like Poulter, his birdie probability was higher in the rough (21.77%) than on the fairway (21.24%). Other players strong in the rough include Taylor Moore (USA; fairway 22.48%, rough 22.50%), Erik van Rooyen (South Africa; fairway 22.20%, rough 21.85%), and Wesley Bryan (USA; fairway 21.48%, rough 20.96%).



There are also players who struggle when their ball lands in the rough. Abraham Ancer (Mexico) is a representative example. His birdie probability is 24.17% on the fairway but drops to 7.81% in the rough. Ancer has won once each in the US and Europe and recently transferred to LIV Golf for a large transfer fee. Other players who particularly struggle when their ball lands in the rough include Matthew NeSmith, Austin Smotherman (both USA), Dawie van der Walt (South Africa), and Ryan Armour (USA).


This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.

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