Yoon Seok-yeol 43.5% · Lee Jae-myung 38.1% · Ahn Cheol-soo 7.8%... Opposition Unity Yoon 73.7%
Unification under Ahn Cheol-soo at 17.8%
Return to Two-Front Race in Multi-Candidate Contest
[Asia Economy Reporter Lee Hyun-joo] A public opinion poll conducted just before the Lunar New Year holiday revealed on the 1st that Lee Jae-myung, the presidential candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, and Yoon Seok-youl, the presidential candidate of the People Power Party, are in a close race within the margin of error in a multi-candidate contest.
According to a survey conducted by Dailyan through Polling Fair on the 29th of last month targeting 1,002 people nationwide, Yoon received 43.5% support, while Lee received 38.1%. The gap between the two candidates is 5.4 percentage points, which is within the margin of error (±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level).
Compared to last week's survey, Yoon's support increased by 2.5 percentage points, while Lee's support decreased by 0.2 percentage points.
Ahn Cheol-soo, the presidential candidate of the People’s Party, recorded 7.8%, down 2 percentage points. Sim Sang-jung, the presidential candidate of the Justice Party, followed with 2.8%, and Kim Dong-yeon, the presidential candidate of the New Wave, had 0.8%.
Among respondents who support a regime change, Yoon was the most favored single opposition candidate with 73.7%. Ahn followed with 16.8%, and Kim with 1.6%. Additionally, 54.4% favored "regime change with an opposition party candidate," while 38.2% favored "regime continuation with a ruling party candidate."
By age group, Yoon received high support from those in their 20s, 30s, and 50s and above, while Lee received strong support from those in their 40s and 50s.
Regarding President Moon Jae-in’s performance in office, 42.9% evaluated it positively, up 1.5 percentage points from last week, while negative evaluations decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 54.8%.
When asked about the neutrality of the current government during the election, 49.1% judged it to be neutral, while 46.7% said it was not neutral.
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The sample error of this survey is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. The survey was conducted using a structured questionnaire via random digit dialing (RDD) ARS (100%) on mobile phones, with an overall response rate of 7.8%. For more details, please refer to the website of the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission.
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