Four Polling Agencies Announce Presidential Election Forecasts... Lee and Yoon Neck-and-Neck Race

[Asia Economy Reporter Naju-seok] The approval ratings of Lee Jae-myung, the presidential candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, and Yoon Seok-youl, the presidential candidate of the People Power Party, showed a "neck-and-neck" pattern. Lee's approval rating declined while Yoon's approval rating rose, narrowing the gap to 1 percentage point. Regarding the unification of opposition candidates, Ahn Cheol-soo, the presidential candidate of the People’s Party, showed an advantage over Yoon, but when limited to respondents who want unification, Yoon actually showed an advantage.


Yoon Seok-yeol's Approval Rating Rises 5%p in a Week... 'Lee 34% · Yoon 33% · Ahn 12%' View original image


According to the National Barometer Survey (NBS), jointly conducted by four polling agencies including Embrain Public, K-Stat Research, Korea Research, and Hankook Research, a survey was conducted from the 17th to the 19th targeting 1,000 people aged 18 and over nationwide to measure presidential candidate support. Lee recorded 34%, and Yoon recorded 33%. Lee's approval rating dropped by 3 percentage points compared to the previous survey, while Yoon's approval rating rose by 5 percentage points.


Ahn Cheol-soo, the presidential candidate of the People’s Party, dropped by 2 percentage points to 12%, and Sim Sang-jung, the presidential candidate of the Justice Party, remained at 3%, the same as last week's regular survey.


In the presidential election forecast asking who respondents think will become the next president rather than who they support, Lee was at 40%, and Yoon was at 34%. In the previous survey, Lee's chances of winning were 48%, and Yoon's were 27%, a 21 percentage point difference, but in this survey, the gap narrowed to 6 percentage points.


Regarding opposition unification, 46% of respondents said it was necessary, while 42% said it was not. When asked about unification between Yoon and Ahn, 34% said unification should be under Yoon, and 40% said it should be under Ahn. However, among those who believe unification is necessary, 52% said unification should be under Yoon, and 37% said it should be under Ahn.



This survey was conducted entirely by telephone interviews using virtual mobile phone numbers. The margin of error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For more details, please refer to the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.


This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.

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