Lee Jae-myung 40.1%, Yoon Seok-youl 34.1%... Ahn Cheol-soo 11.1% 'Rising Trend'
Jeonju Comparison: Lee down 0.8%p, Yoon down 5.1%p
Ahn up 4.5%p
As a result of a survey on 'Next Presidential Candidate Support' commissioned by OhmyNews and conducted by Realmeter, Lee Jae-myung, the Democratic Party presidential candidate, received 40.1%, Yoon Seok-youl, the People Power Party presidential candidate, 34.1%, Sim Sang-jung, the Justice Party presidential candidate, 2.8%, and Ahn Cheol-soo, the People's Party presidential candidate, 11.1%. [Image source=Yonhap News]
View original image[Asia Economy Reporter Yoon Seul-gi] A poll released on the 10th showed that the gap in approval ratings between Lee Jae-myung, the presidential candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, and Yoon Seok-youl, the presidential candidate of the People Power Party, was 6.0 percentage points (p), with Lee leading outside the margin of error.
In a survey conducted by Realmeter on behalf of OhmyNews from the 2nd to the 7th, targeting 3,042 adult men and women nationwide (sampling error ±1.8%p at a 95% confidence level), when asked about the 'next presidential candidate support rate,' Lee's support fell by 0.8%p from the previous week to 40.1%, while Yoon's support dropped by 5.1%p to 34.1%.
Following them, Ahn Cheol-soo of the People’s Party rose by 4.5%p to 11.1%, and Sim Sang-jung of the Justice Party decreased by 0.2%p to 2.8%. Other candidates accounted for 3.0%, none 6.8%, and don’t know/no response 2.0%.
By region, Lee’s support increased in Gwangju-Jeolla (2.4%p) and Daegu-Gyeongbuk (4.4%p), but declined in Busan-Ulsan-Gyeongnam (4.6%p), Incheon-Gyeonggi (2.8%p), and Daejeon-Sejong-Chungcheong (2.4%p).
Yoon’s support fell in most regions, notably in Daegu-Gyeongbuk (11.9%p), Gwangju-Jeolla (5.7%p), and Busan-Ulsan-Gyeongnam (5.2%p).
By age group, Lee showed slight increases in his 30s and 50s compared to the same survey a week earlier, while Yoon experienced declines in his 30s (13.0%p), 60s (6.5%p), and 50s (5.5%p).
Ahn’s support surged significantly in Daejeon-Sejong-Chungcheong (9.4%p), Daegu-Gyeongbuk (5.4%p), and Busan-Ulsan-Gyeongnam (5.2%p), and rose across most age groups including 30s (6.5%p), 20s (4.8%p), and 60s (4.5%p).
In the 'single candidate support' poll between Yoon and Ahn, Ahn led within the margin of error with 35.9% compared to Yoon’s 32.5%. None accounted for 24.3%, and don’t know/no response was 7.3%.
In the survey on the likelihood of winning the next presidential election, Lee was at 52.8%, and Yoon at 34.9%. Compared to last week, Lee’s rating rose by 3.3%p, while Yoon’s fell by 3.7%p. The gap between the two candidates was 17.9%p, outside the margin of error. Ahn followed with 4.5%, and Sim with 1.0%.
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This survey was conducted using a mixed method of wireless telephone interviews (20%), wireless (75%) and landline (5%) automated responses, and random dialing through a sampling frame combining 95% wireless and 5% landline phones. The response rate was 7.6%. For more detailed information, please refer to the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission.
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