Dollar Strengthens on Strong US Consumer Data... Yen Hits Lowest Value in 4 Years
[Asia Economy Reporter Park Byung-hee] The US dollar is showing strength ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) tapering (reduction of asset purchases). Tapering means a decrease in dollar liquidity. The sharp rise in US consumer prices and strong consumption indicators have raised expectations that the Fed may accelerate the pace of tapering, fueling the dollar's strength.
According to Bloomberg on the 17th (local time), the value of the yen against the dollar soared to its highest level in over four years.
The dollar-yen exchange rate rose to 114.84 yen per dollar, surpassing this year's high of 114.70 yen recorded in October, marking the highest level since March 2017.
Bloomberg reported that the dollar's value against the yen increased by up to 0.6% following the strong US retail sales data for October released by the US Department of Commerce on the same day.
US retail sales in October increased by 1.7% compared to the previous month. This exceeded economists' expectations of 1.5% compiled by The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), raising hopes for increased consumer spending during the year-end shopping season. The strong earnings reports from major retailers such as Walmart and Home Depot also boosted consumer sentiment.
With US consumer price inflation already entering the 6% range for the first time in 30 years, improved consumer activity increases inflationary pressures. For the Fed, this means tightening monetary policy further to control inflation.
As the dollar's value rises, the currencies of major emerging markets have all declined simultaneously.
The Turkish lira fell to an all-time low against the dollar, with the dollar-lira exchange rate reaching 10.44 lira per dollar. The lira's depreciation against the dollar has expanded to 28% this year. The South African rand also dropped to its lowest level against the dollar since March.
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The dollar index, which reflects the dollar's relative value against six major currencies including the yen, euro, and pound, rose 0.5% on the day, reaching its highest level in 16 months.
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