[AK Poll] People Power Party's Two Front-Runners Yoon Seok-yeol vs Hong Joon-pyo, Neck-and-Neck Within Margin of Error

[Asia Economy Reporter Naju-seok] Hong Joon-pyo, a member of the People Power Party, and former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-youl are locked in a tight race over suitability as opposition presidential candidates. While Hong showed a strong upward trend, Yoon also demonstrated a recovery.

According to a public opinion poll conducted by Asia Economy through Win-G Korea Consulting from the 25th to 26th, surveying 1,016 voters nationwide aged 18 and over (100% mobile phone virtual numbers, automated response), Hong led the conservative opposition presidential candidate suitability with 33.5%. Former Prosecutor General Yoon closely followed within the margin of error at 29.5%.

In a similar poll conducted earlier on the 11th to 12th, Hong’s support rate rose by 0.7 percentage points (32.7%▶33.5%), while Yoon’s increased by 3.7 percentage points (25.8%▶29.5%). Yoon’s rising momentum narrowed the gap between the two.

Notably, among respondents who identified as supporters of the People Power Party, Yoon’s support rate was 54.0%, significantly ahead of Hong’s 31.9%. In the previous poll (11th to 12th), Yoon’s support within the People Power Party was 44.7%. This suggests that public opinion within the party has consolidated around Yoon following the Chuseok holiday.

Win-G Korea analyzed that "Hong’s remarks related to the investigation of Cho Kuk and controversies during the primary debates appear to have influenced the People Power Party supporters."

Earlier, on the 17th, during the first People Power Party presidential debate, Hong engaged in a verbal exchange with Ha Tae-kyung, a party member, stating, "(The investigation related to former Minister of Justice Cho Kuk) was not wrong but was an excessive investigation. There was no slaughtering investigation." Hong faced criticism for seemingly defending Cho, possibly to appeal to Democratic Party supporters.

▶How the survey was conducted

This survey was conducted by Asia Economy through Win-G Korea Consulting from the 25th to 26th, targeting voters aged 18 and over nationwide, with 1,016 respondents and an overall response rate of 8.4%. The method was wireless ARS using 100% mobile phone virtual numbers. The sample was extracted with weighted values by gender, age, and region based on the resident registration population as of the end of January 2021 from the Ministry of the Interior and Safety (cell weighting). The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For detailed survey information, refer to the Win-G Korea Consulting website or the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.