Third Force vs. Kukhim, 45% Respond "Will Vote" Regardless of Yoon Affiliation [Realmeter]

Running as a Third Force Candidate: 'Will Vote' 45.3% vs People Power Candidate 45.2%... Similar
'Will Not Vote' Responses Show Veto Regardless of Affiliation... Third Force 46.1% vs People Power 47.1%
People Power Supporters Back Yoon Regardless of 'People Power vs Third Force'
Age Groups Split Between 30-40s and 60-70s

[Asia Economy Reporter Oh Ju-yeon] A public opinion poll revealed that 45% of respondents said they would 'vote' for former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol regardless of whether he runs for president as a third force or under the People Power Party. Conversely, nearly half of the respondents said they would 'not vote' for him, regardless of his affiliation with the third force or the People Power Party, indicating that there is little correlation between Yoon's presidential candidacy support rate and his affiliated camp.

According to a poll conducted by Realmeter commissioned by OhmyNews on the 9th and 10th, regarding 'voting intention if former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-yeol runs as a third force or under the People Power Party,' the responses showed similar support rates for Yoon running as a third force and running as a People Power Party candidate.

[Image source=Yonhap News]

When running as a third force, 45.3% responded that they would 'vote' for him, while 46.1% said they would 'not vote.' Those who answered 'don't know' accounted for 8.7%.

These responses were similar to the results when he runs as a People Power Party candidate.

When running under the People Power Party, 45.2% said they would 'vote' for him, and 47.1% said they would 'not vote.' The 'don't know' responses were 7.7%.

Realmeter analyzed that there was no difference in the maximum expandable size of the overall supporter base whether he runs as a third force or as a People Power Party candidate.

Among those who said they would 'vote' for him as a People Power Party candidate, 12.0% said they would 'not vote' if he ran as a third force candidate, whereas among those who said they would 'not vote' as a People Power Party candidate, 11.6% said they would 'vote' if he ran as a third force candidate, indicating that defection and consolidation offset each other.

By region, the non-support rate was high in Gwangju and Jeolla when running as a People Power Party candidate. In Gwangju and Jeolla, 58.6% said they would 'not vote' if he ran as a third force, but this rose to 59.2% when running as a People Power Party candidate.

By age group, those in their 30s and 40s showed a high rate of 'not voting' regardless of whether he ran as a third force or under the People Power Party. When running as a third force, 55.7% of those in their 30s and 54.0% of those in their 40s said they would 'not vote,' and when running under the People Power Party, 53.0% and 59.5% respectively said they would 'not vote.'

However, among those aged 60 and above, the 'would vote' response was dominant.

When running as a third force, 57.1% of those in their 60s and 57.2% of those aged 70 and above said they would 'vote,' nearly 6 out of 10 people. Similarly, when running as a People Power Party candidate, 57.6% of those in their 60s and 56.3% of those aged 70 and above said they would 'vote.'

By ideological inclination, the non-support rate among progressives increased when he ran as a People Power Party candidate compared to running as a third force candidate. Among progressives, 68.4% said they would 'not vote' when he ran as a third force, but this rate rose to 71.9% when he ran under the People Power Party. Among conservatives, 73.6% said they would 'vote' when he ran as a People Power Party candidate, higher than the 66.0% when running as a third force. Among moderates, the 'would vote' and 'would not vote' responses were 49.6% vs. 43.8% when running under the People Power Party, and 49.3% vs. 44.9% when running as a third force candidate, showing no significant difference with 'would vote' responses prevailing.

This survey contacted 13,532 voters aged 18 and over nationwide, with a final 1,000 respondents completing the survey, resulting in a 7.4% response rate. The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For more details, refer to the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.