NYT "Georgia Senate Vote, Democrats' Landslide Win Probability 95%... Blue Wave Expected"

"High Possibility of Democratic Party Blue Wave Achievement"
"Most Remaining Counting Areas Support Democratic Party"

[Image source=AP Yonhap News]

[Asia Economy Reporter Hyunwoo Lee] The American daily newspaper The New York Times (NYT) reported, citing a polling expert, that the Democratic Party is highly likely to achieve a landslide victory in the federal Senate runoff election currently being counted in Georgia. Since most of the remaining areas to be counted are Democratic strongholds, it is expected that the Democrats will take both seats, leading to a 'Blue Wave' where the Democratic Party controls the White House as well as both the House and Senate.

According to the New York Times (NYT) on the 5th (local time), polling expert Nate Cohn said in an interview with the NYT that "based on our own analysis, the probability of Democratic candidates winning both seats is over 95%," adding, "The areas where votes remain to be counted are Democratic strongholds." The NYT also evaluated the chances of Democratic candidates Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock winning as 'very likely' and 'pretty likely,' respectively, through its own election forecasting program.

In this election, both the Republican and Democratic parties have been engaged in a neck-and-neck battle with multiple lead changes. According to CNN, with 98% of the votes counted, incumbent Republican Senator David Perdue leads Democratic candidate Jon Ossoff by only 1,208 votes, with both candidates tied at 50.0% support. Meanwhile, the gap between Democratic candidate Raphael Warnock (50.4%) and Republican candidate Kelly Loeffler (49.6%) is 35,802 votes. With such a razor-thin race continuing and many votes still to be counted, it is expected that the final results will not be known until 2 to 3 days later.

In the early stages of counting, Democratic candidates recorded overwhelming vote shares of 70-80%, but as more than 60% of the votes were counted, Republican candidates staged comebacks and Democratic candidates regained leads, resulting in a tense and close contest.

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