[Agyeong Poll] Seoul Citizens, Democratic Party 35.2% vs People Power Party 22.9%

Justice Party 7.4%ㆍPeople's Party 7.1%ㆍOpen Democratic Party 5.2%

[Asia Economy Reporter Lim Chun-han] The Democratic Party of Korea is shown to be significantly ahead of the People Power Party by a margin of 12 to 18 percentage points in Seoul areas excluding the Southeast region (Gangnam-gu, Gangdong-gu, Seocho-gu, Songpa-gu). In the Southeast region, the Democratic Party (30.6%) and the People Power Party (27.4%) were engaged in a close race within the margin of error.

According to a public opinion poll conducted by Asia Economy through Win-G Korea Consulting from the 1st to the 2nd of this month targeting 1,000 Seoul citizens (100% mobile phone virtual numbers, automated response), party support rates were recorded as 35.2% for the Democratic Party and 22.9% for the People Power Party. Other results showed the Justice Party at 7.4%, the People’s Party at 7.1%, the Open Democratic Party at 5.2%, and 20.6% were undecided or non-affiliated.

By region, in the downtown area (Yongsan-gu, Jongno-gu, Jung-gu), the Democratic Party had 36.1% and the People Power Party 18.9%. In the Northeast area (Gangbuk-gu, Gwangjin-gu, Nowon-gu, Dobong-gu, Dongdaemun-gu, Seongdong-gu, Seongbuk-gu, Jungnang-gu), the Democratic Party had 38.2% and the People Power Party 22.4%. In the Northwest area (Mapo-gu, Seodaemun-gu, Eunpyeong-gu), the Democratic Party had 36.3% and the People Power Party 18.2%. In the Southwest area (Gangseo-gu, Gwanak-gu, Guro-gu, Geumcheon-gu, Dongjak-gu, Yangcheon-gu, Yeongdeungpo-gu), the Democratic Party had 34.8% and the People Power Party 23.0%.

By gender and age, men showed a clear advantage for the Democratic Party in all age groups except those in their 20s. Particularly, among men in their 40s, the Democratic Party had 52.9% support compared to 10.8% for the People Power Party, and among men in their 50s, the Democratic Party had 45.2% versus 21.1% for the People Power Party, indicating relatively strong support for the Democratic Party. Men in their 30s showed 31.5% for the Democratic Party and 21.6% for the People Power Party; men in their 60s had 31.2% and 27.4%, respectively; and men aged 70 and above had 32.7% and 29.7%. Conversely, men in their 20s recorded 19.4% for the Democratic Party and 25.9% for the People Power Party, which is interpreted as being influenced by recent controversies such as the military service privilege allegations involving the son of former Minister of Justice Choo Mi-ae.

Among women, the Democratic Party led in the 20s to 40s age groups, there was a close contest in the 50s to 60s, and the People Power Party led among those aged 70 and above. Women in their 20s showed 36.2% support for the Democratic Party and 10.7% for the People Power Party; women in their 30s had 45.9% and 18.7%, respectively; women in their 40s had 44.1% and 12.5%. Women in their 50s recorded 30.0% for the Democratic Party and 32.1% for the People Power Party; women in their 60s had 33.9% and 34.4%; and women aged 70 and above had 13.6% and 41.4%, respectively.

The Justice Party ranked second in party support among women in their 20s with 15.8%. This is analyzed as a result of the Justice Party’s focus on feminist issues, which has drawn strong support from young female voters.

This survey was conducted from the 1st to the 2nd targeting men and women aged 18 and over residing in Seoul. The overall response rate was 8.07%, with 1,000 respondents. The survey method was wireless ARS using 100% mobile phone virtual numbers. The sample was extracted with weighting by gender, age, and region based on the resident registration population as of the end of September 2020 from the Ministry of the Interior and Safety (cell weighting). The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For detailed survey information, please refer to the Win-G Korea Consulting website or the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.