Typhoon Haishen Unlikely to Make Landfall on Korean Peninsula...KMA Forecasts It Will Pass Along East Coast and Move Northward
Japan Faces Potentially Record-Breaking Typhoon
Sea Surface Temperature and Atmospheric Conditions Likely to Shift Path Eastward
Track Still Uncertain Due to Many Variables
[Asia Economy Reporter Naju-seok] It is predicted that Typhoon No. 10 'Haishen' will not make landfall in South Korea but will pass along the east coast and move northward.
The Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) stated that Haishen's expected path is likely to change significantly eastward from the previously predicted route. The KMA analyzed that when Haishen approaches near South Korea, it will not be able to move westward due to the influence of cool and dry air to the west, causing its trajectory to shift further east. Initially, the KMA expected Haishen to make landfall on the southern coast of Gyeongnam around noon on the 7th and cross the Korean Peninsula from south to north. According to the updated forecast, Haishen is expected to pass about 160 km south-southeast of Busan at 9 a.m. on the 7th and about 150 km north-northeast of Gangneung at 9 p.m. the same day.
As of 9 a.m., Haishen is moving north-northwest at a speed of 15 km/h in the sea about 510 km southeast of Okinawa, Japan. Its central pressure is 920 hPa, the radius of strong winds is 450 km, and the maximum wind speed is an extremely strong 53 m/s.
However, the path may change depending on how it moves near Japan.
Haishen has developed into a super typhoon with wind speeds exceeding 54 m/s. In Japan, it is expected that by the afternoon of the 5th, Haishen's central pressure will drop to 915 hPa, and the maximum instantaneous wind speed near the center will reach 80 m, classifying it as a special warning-level typhoon. Japan predicts that Haishen will become an unprecedentedly powerful super typhoon due to factors such as the high sea surface temperature south of Japan and the surrounding atmospheric conditions.
However, by the time Haishen approaches South Korea around the 7th, it is expected to weaken to a very strong or strong typhoon with maximum wind speeds in the 40 m/s range. Observations suggest that sea surface temperatures and weather conditions will act to reduce the typhoon's strength.
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Nonetheless, due to its strong intensity, the typhoon is expected to affect the entire country. With the damage already caused by Typhoon Maysak to Jeju, Gyeongnam, and the east coast, the approach of another typhoon raises concerns about additional damage.
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