"Tariff Shock" for Korean, Chinese, and Japanese Companies: "Sales Down, But Investment Unchanged" [3-Minute Brief]
[At a Glance]
1. Korea Economic Cooperation Association surveys 303 manufacturing firms in Korea, China, and Japan
2. Semiconductor production rises 13.3%... Positive growth for two consecutive months
3. 100 days into Trump’s presidency, stark contrast in investment results between individual and foreign investors
MARKET INDEX : Year to date
○ All three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher.
○ Tech stocks rose on the back of strong earnings from Microsoft and Meta.
○ Despite pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut rates, U.S. Treasury yields increased.
Top 3 NEWS
■ Korean, Chinese, and Japanese companies: "Average sales to drop by 4-7% next year... Investment plans remain unchanged"
○ Korea's machinery and industrial equipment sectors are hit the hardest.
○ Companies are focusing more on reducing costs and expenses than on expanding local production in the U.S.
○ Government action is needed, such as tax cuts and fiscal support.
■ Sluggish economy... Production up 0.9%, but domestic demand remains weak
○ Semiconductor production saw its largest increase in 19 months, while service sector output fell by 0.3%.
○ Retail sales, led by wholesale and retail sectors, dropped by 0.3%, but rose by 1.5% year-on-year.
○ "Strong production trend and internal and external uncertainties"... Both facility investment and construction orders recorded negative growth.
■ 100 days into Trump’s presidency: Individual investors lose, foreigners gain
○ Individual investors concentrated their net purchases on tariff-vulnerable stocks.
○ Korean investors in U.S. stocks lost 16 trillion won due to heavy buying of Tesla.
○ Foreign investors bought defense and tariff-insulated stocks.
Graphic News: Additional tax revenue collected through March totals 8.4 trillion won... Corporate tax up by 6.5 trillion won
○ Ministry of Economy and Finance March national tax revenue report
○ Corporate tax revenue surged this year due to improved corporate performance
○ Ongoing concerns over tax revenue outlook, affected by Trump-era tariff hikes and other factors
the Chart: Hanwha Group stocks, once strong performers, hit the brakes
○ News of Korea Development Bank selling its stake in Hanwha Ocean sent group stocks lower together.
○ Hanwha Ocean fell by more than 12%, with further correction seen as inevitable for now.
○ Hanwha Aerospace's first-quarter results are expected to provide a rebound momentum.
Today's Key Schedule
○ Domestic
08:00 Korea Consumer Price Index (MoM) (April)
○ Overseas
16:15 Spain Manufacturing PMI (April)
16:45 Italy Manufacturing PMI (April)
17:00 European Central Bank Monthly Report
18:00 Eurozone Consumer Price Index (YoY) (April)
21:30 U.S. Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (April)
21:30 U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (April)
21:30 U.S. Unemployment Rate (April)
Hot Picks Today
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◇ Lunch & Evening Commute Weather
○ Lowest temperature: 9°C (▼3°C) | Highest temperature: 20°C (▲2°C)
○ Precipitation probability: 0% in the morning | 30% in the afternoon
○ Fine dust: Moderate in the morning | Good in the afternoon
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