In US Presidential Polls, Biden Leads in Two-Party Race, Trump Ahead in Multi-Candidate Contest

In a rematch between former and current presidents, a November U.S. presidential election poll showed that in a head-to-head contest, President Joe Biden holds the lead, while in a multi-candidate race, former President Donald Trump is ahead.

On the 30th (local time), NPR, PBS NewsHour, and Marist released the results of a presidential election poll conducted from the 21st to 23rd (local time) among 1,122 U.S. voters, with a margin of error of ±3.7 percentage points. The survey was based on the question, "If the election were held today, who would you vote for?" For respondents who had not yet decided, a follow-up question asked, "Who are you leaning towards?" and the answers were combined.

In the head-to-head matchup, President Biden led former President Trump by 2 percentage points, with 50% support compared to Trump's 48%. This 2-point lead for Biden is the same figure as in the poll conducted earlier this month.

Among voters who said they "definitely will vote," President Biden also led with 50%, but the gap with former President Trump (49%) narrowed to just 1 percentage point. This is a decrease from the previous poll, where Biden led by 5 percentage points (52% to 47%).

On the other hand, in the multi-candidate race including minor candidates such as Robert Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein, former President Trump led with 44% support, ahead of President Biden's 40%. Kennedy Jr. received 8%, Stein 3%, and West 2% support respectively.

In the previous multi-candidate poll by the same organizations, Biden and Trump were tied at 42%, with Kennedy at 11%, and Stein and West each at 2%.

NPR analyzed that the reason the latest polls show Biden leading in the two-candidate race and Trump leading in the multi-candidate race is due to divided support among young voters who back the Democratic Party.

Meanwhile, in battleground state polls that will decide the election outcome, former President Trump's lead continues.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.