[Yang Nak-gyu's Defence Club] North Korea Predicts Provocation After Typhoon Passes
Chairman Kim Jong-un Targets Seoul and Gyeryongdae, Declares "War Preparations"
After Typhoon No. 6 'Khanun' leaves the Korean Peninsula, North Korea's provocations are expected to intensify. There is a high possibility that they will launch short-range missiles targeting not only the South Korea-U.S. joint military exercises but also the South Korea-U.S.-Japan summit.
On the 10th, the Korean Central News Agency reported, "The 7th expanded meeting of the 8th Central Military Commission of the Workers' Party was held yesterday," adding, "Chairman Kim Jong Un made a resolute conclusion to aggressively accelerate the military's war preparations."
The agency also released a photo showing Chairman Kim pointing with his finger at an area presumed to be around Seoul and near Gyeryongdae in Chungnam Province. It is assumed that there are changes in the operational zones, plans, and missions of the North Korean frontline units, but specific details were not disclosed.
However, the fact that the Central Military Commission, which is usually held twice a year, has been convened frequently since February is seen as reflecting North Korea's perception of the situation on the Korean Peninsula. In particular, this is interpreted as a measure to prepare countermeasures ahead of the South Korea-U.S. joint exercise 'Ulchi Freedom Shield' (UFS), scheduled for the 21st to 24th.
Chairman Kim also urged the production of new weapons. He emphasized, "All factories and enterprises in the military-industrial sector must vigorously push forward the mass production struggle of various armed equipment to meet the operational demands of the modernizing military." North Korea first unveiled the KN-24, known as the 'North Korean version of ATACMS,' mounted on a wheeled transporter erector launcher (TEL) at the military parade commemorating the 70th anniversary of the Korean War Armistice Day, called 'Victory Day.' The wheeled type, unlike the tracked type, is less costly to produce and allows for mass production.
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Meanwhile, at the meeting, North Korea announced the dismissal of General Pak Su Il from the position of Chief of the General Staff and appointed Lieutenant General Ri Yong Gil as his successor. They also revealed plans to hold a 'civilian armed forces parade' to mark the 75th anniversary of the founding of the regime (September 9th).
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