LPR Rate Held Steady at 3.55% Amid Pressure from RMB Weakness in China
Despite concerns over China's economic slowdown, the central bank has kept the Loan Prime Rate (LPR), which effectively serves as the benchmark interest rate, unchanged. This move is interpreted as a measure to avoid additional pressure amid the recent continuous depreciation of the yuan. Market participants expect that an additional LPR cut will be implemented soon, considering it a matter of time.
On the 20th, the People's Bank of China, the country's central bank, announced that the 1-year LPR remains at 3.55%, and the 5-year LPR stays at 4.2%.
The LPR is the lending rate offered to the best customers of 18 major commercial banks in China and functions as the de facto benchmark interest rate. Local banks and financial institutions use it as the basis for loan rates. The 1-year rate applies to consumer and corporate loans, while the 5-year rate serves as the benchmark for long-term loans such as mortgages.
Last month, the People's Bank of China cut the 1-year and 5-year LPR by 0.1 percentage points each. This was the first time in 10 years that the central bank lowered the LPR.
The market views further LPR cuts by the People's Bank of China as inevitable in the second half of the year, with timing being the only question. However, since widening the interest rate gap with the United States could put additional pressure on the already weak yuan, authorities are expected to carefully coordinate the timing of any cuts. Earlier, the People's Bank of China set the dollar-yuan central parity rate at 7.1466 yuan (approximately 1,258.30 KRW), down 0.0020 yuan (0.03%) from the previous session.
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China's second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate, announced on the 17th, came in at 6.3%, falling well short of the market forecast of 7%. The youth unemployment rate (ages 16?24) reached a record high of 21.3%, while consumption and export indicators also underperformed expectations, showing a sluggish trend.
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