Launch of the Nuclear Consultative Group... North Korea Exposes 'Anxiety' Amid Denial of Denuclearization
Kim Yo-jong Issues Four Statements in One Week
Concerns Over 'Extended Deterrence Enhancement' Amid Denial of Denuclearization
Government: "North Korea Has No Choice... Come to Dialogue"
North Korea, opposing the launch of the South Korea-U.S. Nuclear Consultative Group (NCG) on the 18th and the strengthening of South Korea-U.S. extended deterrence, has announced an intensified military offensive. Although North Korea has raised the level of criticism and appears to be rejecting dialogue, some analyses suggest that it actually revealed anxiety over the deployment of U.S. strategic assets and left room for negotiation.
Kim Yo-jong, vice department director of the Workers' Party of Korea, stated in a statement released by the Korean Central News Agency the previous night, "The more the United States strengthens the extended deterrence system, the further it will push us away from the negotiation table." This was a response to Jake Sullivan, White House National Security Advisor, who on the 16th proposed dialogue by saying, "We are ready to discuss a nuclear solution with North Korea without preconditions."
Kim Yo-jong said, "Recently, the U.S. side has been stirring public opinion that we are not responding to dialogue," adding, "Even if a virtual North Korea-U.S. dialogue were to take place, it is obvious that the package the U.S. administration would put on the negotiation table would be nothing more than something like 'CVID'." CVID stands for 'Complete, Verifiable, and Irreversible Denuclearization,' a principle that the U.S. has consistently upheld regarding North Korea's nuclear program.
By fundamentally rejecting CVID and repeatedly expressing the intention not to give up denuclearization even in exchange for the withdrawal of U.S. forces stationed in South Korea, Kim Yo-jong is interpreted as demanding dialogue on the premise of recognizing North Korea's 'nuclear possession.' On the surface, it reads as a refusal to engage in dialogue until nuclear possession is acknowledged, but some evaluations suggest that it actually exposed anxiety over the strengthening of extended deterrence and showed lingering interest in dialogue.
In fact, Kim Yo-jong expressed concern over the deployment of U.S. strategic assets on the Korean Peninsula, saying, "The reality before us today is nuclear strategic bombers flying in at unexpected times and U.S. strategic nuclear submarines entering the waters of the Korean Peninsula for the first time in over 40 years." She also targeted the NCG launched in Seoul that day, saying, "They openly conspire to use nuclear weapons against us."
The fact that Kim Yo-jong’s statements, entrusted with 'Kim Jong-un’s will,' have become more frequent is also seen as an element revealing North Korea’s anxiety over the launch of the NCG and the strengthening of extended deterrence. After making a somewhat far-fetched claim on the 10th that a U.S. strategic reconnaissance aircraft violated North Korea’s economic exclusive zone (EEZ), Kim Yo-jong issued statements four times within a week on the 11th, 14th, and the previous day.
Professor Yang Moo-jin of the University of North Korean Studies interpreted, "It is not North Korea that is refusing dialogue, but rather emphasizing that the U.S. must change its calculation for dialogue." He added, "Overall, while showing a firm will to respond decisively to protect sovereignty despite U.S. threats, there is an anxiety psychology revealed regarding uncertainties caused by the deployment of U.S. strategic assets and the strengthening of extended deterrence."
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The Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a statement on Kim Yo-jong’s remarks that day, saying, "We cannot help but point out North Korea’s behavior of deceptively enhancing its nuclear and missile capabilities behind the scenes and breaking agreements despite providing various reciprocal measures through multiple denuclearization agreements over the past 30 years." It continued, "North Korea, whose contradictions have been exposed, has used 'complete and irreversible denuclearization' as a pretext to refuse dialogue, but this is an obligation under international law and North Korea has no choice. We urge North Korea to immediately halt nuclear development and return to the negotiating table."
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