[Click eStock] "F&F, Operating Profit Estimates Lowered"... Target Price ↓
On the 27th, KB Securities downgraded F&F's operating profit estimates for this year and next year by 11% and 8%, respectively, lowering the target stock price from 230,000 KRW to 200,000 KRW. However, the target stock price rating was maintained as a buy.
F&F's consolidated sales in the fourth quarter of last year recorded 558.9 billion KRW, down 1% year-on-year, and operating profit decreased by 16% to 154.5 billion KRW. With stagnant sales, the operating profit margin fell by 5 percentage points compared to the previous year due to a decline in the contribution of high-margin sales from China.
MLB Korea's pure domestic sales decreased by 6% to 76.1 billion KRW, and duty-free sales dropped by 15% to 62.0 billion KRW. Discovery's sales declined by 2% due to a high base effect and mild weather. MLB KIDS' duty-free sales fell by around 20%, but domestic sales showed a favorable growth trend. The Chinese subsidiary's sales decreased by 20% to 121.0 billion KRW. Due to inventory clearance in stores and adjusted deliveries, offline sales fell short of market expectations at 88.6 billion KRW, while online sales increased by 12% to 32.4 billion KRW.
F&F's consolidated sales for this year are expected to increase by 18% year-on-year to 2.1348 trillion KRW, and operating profit is forecasted to rise by 18% to 618.3 billion KRW.
Shinae Park, a researcher at KB Securities, explained, "Domestic domestic channels are expected to show somewhat slower growth this year due to a high base effect. Meanwhile, the China-related subsidiaries and channels are expected to see improved growth momentum in the second half of the year."
She added, "Duty-free channel sales are expected to show an increasing trend quarter-on-quarter throughout the year, and although the Chinese subsidiary's sales growth rate will be only 7% in the first quarter, it is estimated that the growth rate will noticeably increase each quarter from the second quarter onward."
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She further noted, "In the short term, rapid recovery in Chinese sales will dispel concerns, and in the mid-to-long term, trend growth based on business diversification effects is expected."
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