Last week NBS showed a 35% tie... "Yoon up 5%p to 40%, Lee down 4%p to 31%"

Yoon Seok-yeol Leads Presidential Election Outlook with 48%, Lee Jae-myung at 32%
Public Opinion for Regime Judgment Also on the Rise

[Asia Economy Reporter Naju-seok] Yoon Seok-yeol, the presidential candidate of the People Power Party, is leading Lee Jae-myung, the presidential candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, by a margin beyond the margin of error in the presidential candidate approval ratings. The approval ratings of both sides, which were tied in last week's poll, showed diverging trends with Yoon's rising and Lee's falling.

According to a public opinion poll conducted from the 14th to the 16th by Embrain Public, K-Stat Research, Korea Research, and Hankook Research targeting 1,012 people aged 18 and over nationwide, Yoon's approval rating rose by 5 percentage points from the previous survey to 40%, while Lee's approval rating dropped by 4 percentage points to 41%.

Accordingly, the approval ratings of the two candidates, which were tied at 35% in the previous poll, changed to Yoon leading Lee by 9 percentage points. This exceeds the margin of error (±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level).

Ahn Cheol-soo, the presidential candidate of the People’s Party, had an approval rating of 8%, Sim Sang-jung of the Justice Party had 2%, none was 14%, others 1%, and don’t know/no response was 4% respectively.

In the presidential election outcome forecast question, regardless of support, Yoon was expected to win by 48%, while Lee was expected to win by 32%.

The theory of regime judgment increased, while the theory of government stability decreased. The regime judgment theory stood at 50%, whereas the government stability theory was at 38%. Compared to the previous survey, the regime judgment theory rose by 5 percentage points, but the government stability theory fell by 4 percentage points.

Meanwhile, in the competitiveness survey for the unified opposition candidate, Yoon led Ahn with 59% to 24%. In the suitability survey, Yoon also led Ahn with 43% to 36%.

For detailed survey information, please refer to the website of the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.