Presidential Election Outlook: Yoon Seok-yeol Rises 4 Consecutive Times, Lee Jae-myung Falls 4 Consecutive Times

[Asia Economy Reporter Naju-seok] In the outlook for the next presidential election, Yoon Seok-yeol, the People Power Party's presidential candidate, led Lee Jae-myung, the Democratic Party's presidential candidate. Both candidates recorded a tie in approval ratings for the second consecutive week.


In the nationwide index survey (NBS) four-way virtual contest conducted from the 7th to the 9th among 1,007 men and women aged 18 and over nationwide by Embrain Public, K-Stat Research, Korea Research, and Hankook Research, Yoon recorded 43% in the election outlook question, ahead of Lee, who recorded 34%.

NBS "Yoon Seok-yeol Leads Lee Jae-myung in Presidential Election Outlook... Support Rate Tied at 35%" View original image


The election outlook is an evaluation of subjective presidential election prospects rather than respondents' support, and it was regarded as a lagging public opinion indicator. Compared to the previous survey (January 24-26), Yoon's presidential election outlook rose by 6 percentage points, while Lee's election outlook fell by 4 percentage points. In the NBS regular survey, Lee's election outlook showed a decline for four consecutive times recently, while Yoon's election outlook showed an upward trend for four consecutive times.


In the approval rating survey, both Lee and Yoon recorded 35%. Yoon's approval rating increased by 1% compared to the previous survey, resulting in a tie. Ahn Cheol-soo, the People's Party presidential candidate, recorded 9%, and Sim Sang-jung, the Justice Party presidential candidate, recorded 4% respectively.

NBS "Yoon Seok-yeol Leads Lee Jae-myung in Presidential Election Outlook... Support Rate Tied at 35%" View original image


In the perception survey regarding this presidential election, the theory of regime judgment was 45%, and the theory of national stability was 42% respectively.


Meanwhile, in the presidential candidate favorability survey, Ahn ranked first with 48%, Yoon second with 40%. Lee followed with 39%, and Sim with 37%. In the morality evaluation, Ahn was first with 40%, Yoon second with 16%. Sim recorded 15%, and Lee 12%.



The margin of error for this public opinion survey is ±3.1% at a 95% confidence level. For detailed survey outlines, refer to the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission website.


This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.

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