NBS "Lee 37%·Yoon 28%·Ahn 14%... Lee Leads Yoon Beyond Margin of Error"
[Asia Economy Reporter Naju-seok] A public opinion poll showed that Lee Jae-myung, the Democratic Party presidential candidate, is leading Yoon Seok-youl, the People Power Party presidential candidate, by a margin outside the margin of error. According to this regularly conducted poll, aside from the rising trend of Ahn Cheol-soo, the People Power Party presidential candidate, there were no significant changes in the support rates of Lee and Yoon.
Lee Jae-myung, the Democratic Party presidential candidate, is observing the surrounding aging apartment complexes from the rooftop of a building in Nowon-gu, Seoul, on the 13th. Photo by the National Assembly Press Photographers Group
View original imageIn the four-way hypothetical contest of the National Barometer Survey (NBS) conducted from the 10th to the 12th by Embrain Public, K-Stat Research, Korea Research, and Hankook Research, surveying 1,000 men and women nationwide aged 18 and older, Lee recorded a support rate of 37%, while Yoon recorded 28%. Compared to the previous survey (conducted from the 3rd to the 5th), Lee's support rate rose by 1 percentage point, whereas Yoon's support rate showed no change. Ahn's support rate increased by 2 percentage points from the previous survey, reaching 14%.
Although there were events such as internal conflicts and resolutions within the People Power Party, this poll shows no notable changes in public opinion. However, Ahn's rising trend, which was only 5-6% until the end of last year, is noteworthy.
Sim Sang-jung, the Justice Party presidential candidate, rose by 1 percentage point from the previous week to 3%. The undecided, don't know, or no response group accounted for 17% of the support rate.
Looking at the data by generation, in their 20s, Lee and Yoon tied with 21% each. In their 30s, 40s, and 50s, Lee ranked first with 37%, 49%, and 46%, respectively. Yoon ranked second in these age groups with 23%, 17%, and 27%, respectively. For those in their 60s and 70s and older, Yoon ranked first with support rates of 42% and 44%, respectively. Lee ranked second in these age groups with 33% and 29%, respectively.
Yoon Seok-yeol, the presidential candidate of the People Power Party, is removing his mask on the 13th at the party headquarters in Yeouido, Seoul, to announce the pledge of "Cancellation of the April electricity rate hike and establishment of a power supply plan based on science and common sense." Photo by Yoon Dong-ju doso7@
View original imageLee was also surveyed as the candidate considered most capable of handling economic policy. Forty-three percent of respondents chose Lee. He was followed by Yoon (18%), Ahn (15%), and Sim (2%).
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The margin of error for this survey is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. The survey was conducted via telephone interviews using 100% mobile phone virtual numbers. For more details, please refer to the website of the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission.
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