'Convention Effect Over?' Yoon Seok-yeol's Support Drops 1.4%p... Lee Jae-myung Rises 4.5%p

[Asia Economy Reporter Hyunju Lee] According to a public opinion poll, Yoon Seok-yeol, the presidential candidate of the People Power Party, leads Lee Jae-myung, the presidential candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, by a margin outside the margin of error, but the gap between the two candidates has narrowed compared to the previous survey.

According to a regular survey conducted by Dailyan on the 12th and 13th, commissioned to the polling specialist agency Yeoronjo Gongjeong, in the survey on presidential candidate support for next year's election, candidate Yoon received 45.4%, which was 11.3 percentage points higher than candidate Lee's 34.1%. Following were Ahn Cheol-soo of the People's Party with 4.7%, Sim Sang-jung of the Justice Party with 3.0%, and Kim Dong-yeon, the preparatory committee chairman of the New Wave party, with 1.6%. Other candidates accounted for 3.4%, none 6.8%, and don't know 1.1%.

Although Yoon led outside the margin of error, the gap between the two candidates slightly decreased. This is because Yoon's support dropped by 1.4 percentage points from last week, while Lee's support rose by 4.5 percentage points.

In the presidential candidate prediction question, which asks who will win the next presidential election regardless of support, candidate Yoon received over half the support with 50.4%. Candidate Lee received 39.6%, candidate Ahn 2.4%, candidate Sim 1.0%, and Chairman Kim 0.6%.

Source=Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission website

In the same survey, party support was 34.2% for the People Power Party, down 5.1 percentage points from the previous week, and 28.3% for the Democratic Party, up 2.6 percentage points. The gap between the two major parties narrowed from 13.6 percentage points to 5.9 percentage points.

Support for the People Power Party declined in all demographics except Daegu-Gyeongbuk and Gangwon-Jeju regions. On the other hand, support for the Democratic Party increased in all demographics except Daegu-Gyeongbuk, Busan-Gyeongnam, Gangwon-Jeju, women, and those in their 50s and 60s or older. It is interpreted that the so-called 'convention effect' faded after the People Power Party's presidential candidate was confirmed.

This survey was conducted nationwide on the 12th and 13th using a structured questionnaire via wireless ARS (100%) targeting male and female voters. The overall response rate was 5.4%, with a final total of 1,002 respondents. The sample was extracted using rim weighting by gender, age, and region based on the resident registration population as of the end of June this year from the Ministry of the Interior and Safety. The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For more details, please refer to the website of the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.