[AKYUNG Poll] People Power Party 38.4% vs Democratic Party 32.9%... Non-affiliated Voters Doubled

[Asia Economy Reporter Park Jun-yi] Support for the People Power Party was found to be higher than support for the Democratic Party of Korea. Additionally, the proportion of respondents with no party affiliation doubled compared to the previous survey (conducted on the 23rd-24th of last month).

On the 9th, Asia Economy commissioned Win-Gi Korea Consulting to conduct a public opinion poll from the 6th to 7th, surveying 1,005 voters aged 18 and older nationwide (100% mobile phone virtual numbers, automated response). The results showed that the People Power Party's support rate was 38.4%, which was 5.5 percentage points higher than the Democratic Party's 32.9%, within the margin of error.

Despite the Democratic Party's presidential candidate Lee Jae-myung being finalized on the 10th of last month and the People Power Party's candidate Yoon Seok-youl facing controversies such as the "dog apple incident," there was no change in ranking.

This appears to be because both parties' support rates declined simultaneously, maintaining the previous survey's ranking. Compared to the previous survey, the People Power Party dropped by 1.5 percentage points, and the Democratic Party by 1.8 percentage points, keeping the gap between the two parties at around 5 percentage points.

The Democratic Party showed strength among those in their 30s to 50s, while the People Power Party led among those in their 20s and those aged 60 and above.

By region, the Democratic Party was dominant in Gyeonggi·Incheon (38.4%), Gwangju·Jeonbuk·Jeonnam (49.6%), and Gangwon·Jeju (41.4%). Conversely, the People Power Party showed higher support in Seoul (45.6%), the Chungcheong region (39.1%), Daegu·Gyeongbuk (53.9%), and Busan·Ulsan·Gyeongnam (43.6%).

Among respondents who positively evaluated the president's performance, 67.3% supported the Democratic Party, while among those who evaluated negatively, 60.8% supported the People Power Party.

Other parties received the following support: the People’s Party 6.3%, the Open Democratic Party 4.2%, and the Justice Party 1.8%. Other parties accounted for 2.2%.

Notably, the proportion of respondents with no party affiliation rose sharply to 14.1%, about twice the 7.1% recorded in the previous survey. Looking at the last three surveys, the figures were 6.4% → 7.1% → 14.1%, showing a rapid recent increase. This is related to a large number of supporters of People Power Party lawmaker Hong Joon-pyo, who had strong support among the 20s and 30s generation, defecting after Yoon was selected as the candidate, as well as the high unfavorable ratings of the remaining candidates. Although the four-way race among candidates Yoon, Lee, Shim Sang-jung of the Justice Party, and Ahn Cheol-soo of the People’s Party has been established, none of them are attracting the votes of the 20s and 30s generation.

This survey was conducted by Asia Economy through Win-Gi Korea Consulting from the 6th to 7th, targeting voters aged 18 and older nationwide, with 1,005 respondents and an overall response rate of 6.7%. The survey method was wireless ARS using 100% mobile phone virtual numbers. The sample was extracted with weighting by gender, age, and region based on the resident registration population as of the end of January 2021 from the Ministry of the Interior and Safety (cell weighting). The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For detailed survey information, please refer to the Win-Gi Korea Consulting website or the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission website.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.