Ko Seung-beom Nominated as Financial Services Commission Chairman... What Will Happen to the Bank of Korea Monetary Policy Committee?
[Asia Economy Reporter Kim Eun-byeol] As President Moon Jae-in nominates Ko Seung-beom, a member of the Financial Monetary Policy Committee of the Bank of Korea, as the new chairman of the Financial Services Commission, attention is turning to the future composition of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). Since Commissioner Ko was the sole dissenter in last month's MPC meeting, suggesting the need for a rate hike, it is an important point whether this will influence the Bank of Korea's future interest rate hike schedule.
According to the Bank of Korea on the 5th, under Article 16 of the Bank of Korea Act, when a vacancy occurs among MPC members, a new member is appointed. The term of the newly appointed member is the same as that of the predecessor. Since Governor Lee Ju-yeol recommended Commissioner Ko, the new member will also be appointed by the president following the governor's recommendation.
Commissioner Ko, a former bureaucrat, was initially classified as a 'dove' (favoring monetary easing) when he first joined the MPC. However, in October 2018, he, along with Commissioner Lee Il-hyung, first presented a minority opinion advocating for a rate hike, solidifying his 'hawkish' (favoring monetary tightening) stance. One month after he presented the minority opinion, in November 2018, the Bank of Korea raised the base interest rate by 0.25 percentage points to 1.75% per annum.
In last month's MPC meeting, Commissioner Ko emphasized 'financial stability' and was the only member to argue that the base interest rate should be raised from 0.5% to 0.75%. He claimed that as the ultra-low interest rate environment continues, the public is taking loans to invest in risky assets, which is a serious situation, and thus the interest rate should be raised in response.
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According to the MPC minutes (held on July 15), during the discussion on monetary policy direction, Commissioner Ko stressed, "Considering financial stability, it is a time to adjust the degree of monetary policy easing." He particularly stated, "Despite recent government measures, the increase in household debt continues, and the flow of funds into asset markets such as real estate persists, which is concerning," adding, "It is desirable to place more weight on financial stability and raise the base interest rate from the current 0.50% to 0.75%."
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