Ruling Party and Government Urge Buying with Debt Amid Rising House Prices... Youth Loan Time Bomb 'Ticking' (Comprehensive)
Ruling Party and Government Push to Ease LTV Regulations for Youth
"Unrealistic Populist Policy" Faces Strong Criticism
Youth Household Loans Increase 17.3% in One Year... Rising Default Risk Amid Interest Rate Hikes
[Asia Economy Reporter Jin-ho Kim] Concerns are rising over the ruling Democratic Party's push to ease loan regulations for the 2030 generation burdened with a "debt bomb." This move reverses the government's long-standing stance of strengthening regulations to stabilize the household debt exceeding 1,700 trillion won and the real estate market, with critics pointing out that it could have the opposite effect of increasing debt even further.
According to financial and political circles on the 28th, the ruling party unveiled the "Supply, Finance, and Tax Improvement Plan for Housing Market Stability" the day before. The core of this measure is a significant relaxation of the Loan-to-Value ratio (LTV) for young people. Specifically, an additional 10 percentage points of LTV preferential rate was applied to the homeless, up to a maximum of 20 percentage points. The preferential housing price requirement for the relaxed LTV regulation was raised from the existing 600 million won to 900 million won or less, and the income standard was also raised to a combined annual income of 100 million won or less for couples purchasing their first home in their lifetime.
The ruling party, which has maintained a tough stance on real estate policy, introduced the loan regulation easing measure only for the youth with the intention of restoring the broken housing ladder and helping them realize their dream of homeownership. Jin-pyo Kim, Chairman of the Democratic Party's Special Committee on Real Estate, explained, "We aim to strengthen the housing welfare of actual demanders by making financial regulations for the homeless more realistic," adding, "We have expanded support for homeownership for the homeless and first-time homebuyers by appropriately relaxing LTV requirements."
Criticism of 'Populist Policy' Grows... "It's Like Giving a Time Bomb"
However, looking at the surge in household loans among young people over the past two years, criticism arises that this is a "populist policy without any real measures." There are concerns about whether it is appropriate to ask them to take on more debt to overcome a momentary crisis. Professor Min-hwan Lee of Inha University's Department of Global Finance pointed out, "The anger of young people seems to stem more from having their hopes for the future taken away rather than from being unable to get loans," adding, "The easing of loan regulations is essentially pushing them to take on more debt."
There are also concerns that if inflation pressures ease and interest rates return to normal levels, the youth burdened with massive debt could face a chain risk of bankruptcy. A financial sector official said, "The pressure of interest burden due to interest rate hikes will be greatest for young people with relatively low income," adding, "It is questionable whether it is appropriate to tell young people, who already have many loans, to borrow more to buy a house." This points to the inappropriateness of the timing of the ruling party's loan regulation easing.
Some also criticize that this is no different from the so-called "buy a house with debt" policy promoted during the Park Geun-hye administration. Another financial sector official raised their voice, saying, "Isn't the fundamental solution to stabilize house prices so that people can buy homes?" and "Considering that house prices have already risen significantly, blindly telling people to buy by borrowing seems unreasonable."
The Justice Party also voiced opposition to the ruling party's loan regulation easing. Lee Dong-young, chief spokesperson for the Justice Party, criticized in a briefing the day before, saying, "Telling people to buy a house with debt is like handing them a time bomb," and "The moment the real estate bubble bursts, a Korean version of the subprime mortgage crisis is inevitable."
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Meanwhile, the ruling party plans to hold a high-level party-government consultation on the 30th regarding the finalized plan announced the day before and aims to announce the final plan as early as next week. It is reported that there are no disagreements from financial authorities regarding the ruling party's finalized plan. They judge that the risk of insolvency is low because even if LTV regulations are relaxed for actual demanders, management will be within the borrower-level total debt service ratio (DSR) limit. Financial Services Commission Chairman Eun Sung-soo recently told reporters, "There is a great consensus with the party regarding the easing of youth LTV, and there are no disagreements."
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