Lee Jae-myung Leads in Two-Way Race Against Opposition Presidential Candidates Hong and Ahn... Trails Yoon [Realmeter]

Next Presidential Candidates' Hypothetical Duel Between Ruling and Opposition Parties
Yoon Seok-yeol 45.7% vs Lee Jae-myung 35.5%
Lee Jae-myung Leads with Mid-30% Range Against Other Opposition Candidates

[Asia Economy Reporter Oh Ju-yeon] A poll showed that Gyeonggi Province Governor Lee Jae-myung held an advantage in hypothetical one-on-one matchups against other opposition presidential candidates, except for former Prosecutor General Yoon Seok-youl.

On the 13th, Realmeter, a polling agency, conducted a survey commissioned by OhmyNews on the 11th and 12th, targeting 1,012 men and women nationwide aged 18 and older. The results showed that in a one-on-one contest between Governor Lee and former Prosecutor General Yoon, 45.7% said they would vote for Yoon, while 35.5% said they would vote for Lee. The gap between them was 10.2 percentage points, which is outside the margin of error (±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level). The undecided voters accounted for 18.8%.

By age group, 50s and 60s and older favored former Prosecutor General Yoon at rates of 50.5% and 56.2%, respectively, while in the 40s age group, 49.8% chose Governor Lee, exceeding the average response rate (35.5%). Among those in their 20s, one in four responded "none" (25.8%).

By region, more than half of respondents in Daegu·Gyeongbuk (57.8%), Seoul (55.0%), and Busan·Ulsan·Gyeongnam (53.0%) said they would vote for former Prosecutor General Yoon, whereas in Gwangju·Jeolla, 58.4% chose Governor Lee, showing a contrasting pattern depending on the region.

Although Governor Lee was behind in the one-on-one matchup against former Prosecutor General Yoon, he showed an advantage in all one-on-one contests against other opposition presidential candidates.

In a hypothetical one-on-one contest with Representative Hong Joon-pyo, Governor Lee received 38.4% support, leading Hong (27.1%) by 11.3 percentage points. Against Ahn Cheol-soo, leader of the People’s Party, Lee garnered 37.8%, beating Ahn (28.8%) by 9.0 percentage points.

Additionally, in a contest with Representative Yoo Seung-min, Governor Lee received 37.9%, leading Yoo (19.2%) by 18.7 percentage points.

This survey contacted 28,636 people aged 18 and older nationwide, with a final 1,012 respondents completing the survey, resulting in a 3.5% response rate. The sampling error is ±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level. For detailed survey outlines and results, refer to the Realmeter or the Central Election Poll Deliberation Commission websites.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.