North Ballistic Missile Development Alert Issued Unusually by US Interagency Departments
Emphasizing 'Do Not Cooperate' to Global Private Sector... Interpreted as 'Superior Management' Ahead of US November Election
Also Seen as a Move to Curb Provocations Ahead of Labor Party Founding Day
[Asia Economy Reporters Lim Cheol-young, Kim Dong-pyo] The United States has issued an unprecedented "alert" to the global industry under the names of three related departments regarding North Korea's ballistic missile development. This is the first time that the U.S. Department of State, along with the Treasury Department and the Commerce Department, have jointly issued an alert solely targeting North Korea's missile development. Analysts interpret this as part of pre-election management of the Korean Peninsula situation and as a measure to curb North Korea's military demonstrations marking the 75th anniversary of the Workers' Party of Korea.
On the 1st (local time), the U.S. Department of State's International Security and Nonproliferation Bureau (ISN), the Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC), and the Commerce Department's Bureau of Industry and Security issued a 19-page notice on their websites, warning against cooperating with technologies and equipment used in North Korea's ballistic missile development.
These three departments introduced key procurement entities related to parts and technologies for North Korea's ballistic missile development and the sanction evasion techniques employed, while listing individuals and organizations in North Korea subject to U.S. sanctions. They particularly emphasized the possibility of inadvertent or accidental support of technologies and equipment used in North Korea's ballistic missiles. The U.S. Department of State urged, "We call on the private sectors of all countries to remain vigilant against North Korea's attempts to acquire missile-related equipment and technologies, including the specific items listed in this alert," and warned, "Be aware that accidental support of related equipment and technologies could result in sanctions from the U.S. and the United Nations (UN)." This is interpreted as a strong intent to completely block the inflow of related technologies into North Korea.
The State Department cited the ongoing efforts to expand North Korea's ballistic missile capabilities as a significant threat to the international community. It added that the U.S. is cooperating internationally to block attempts to procure technologies for North Korea's missile development and to hold accountable institutions and individuals supporting North Korea's ballistic missile program.
This U.S. measure is seen as a preemptive management of the possibility of North Korean missile provocations ahead of the U.S. presidential election in November. Professor Jung Dae-jin of Ajou University explained, "Since the Treasury and Commerce Departments, which mainly handle sanctions, are involved, this can be interpreted as a reaffirmation to the international community regarding North Korea sanctions," adding, "Given that North Korea has not launched ballistic missiles in the past two years, this also appears to be a message for situation management."
There is also speculation that this is intended to curb North Korea's military demonstrations expected on October 10, the 75th anniversary of the founding of the Workers' Party of Korea. North Korea held a large-scale military parade on the 65th anniversary in 2010, unveiling the mobile intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) "Musudan." On the 70th anniversary in 2015, it revealed the improved intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) "KN-08 (Hwasong-13)" for the first time.
Depending on what weapons North Korea unveils on this 75th anniversary, the level of pressure North Korea exerts on the U.S. in the future will be gauged. Signs of preparations for the military parade have already been detected. The U.S.-based North Korea specialist media 38 North reported on the 1st (local time), based on satellite images of Pyongyang's Mirim Airfield, that "rehearsals for the 75th anniversary military parade of the Workers' Party are underway." Thousands of troops have gathered around an area modeled after Pyongyang's Kim Il-sung Square, and hundreds of mobile equipment vehicles were parked in formation in a nearby parking lot. However, due to the presence of many camouflage buildings, it is difficult to estimate the equipment to be deployed in the parade solely from satellite images.
Meanwhile, an International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) report expressing concerns about North Korea's nuclear development activities, following ballistic missiles, was also released. According to Japan's NHK on the 2nd, the IAEA report on North Korea's nuclear development stated that, besides the Yongbyon nuclear facility, there are signs of activity such as vehicle movements at a nuclear facility located in Kangson near Pyongyang. This IAEA report is the latest update on North Korea's nuclear development ahead of the IAEA Board of Governors meeting and the annual general conference.
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