US Polling Expert: "Even If Trump Trails in Polls, Winning the Presidential Election Is Still Possible"

[Asia Economy Reporter Naju-seok] Despite trailing significantly in polls within the United States, President Donald Trump is analyzed to have a chance to win the election.

[Image source=AP Yonhap News]

On the 22nd (local time), Nate Silver, a U.S. polling expert, stated that although Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden is leading in polls, President Trump could actually win the election.

Silver appeared on ABC News that day and introduced that former Vice President Biden is ahead of President Trump by an average of 9 percentage points in approval ratings. However, he mentioned the fact that in the last election, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton received more votes but still lost to President Trump, explaining this possibility.

The U.S. election system requires securing more electoral votes rather than simply obtaining more votes from the entire population. In fact, in the 2016 election, Clinton won the popular vote nationwide with 65.85 million votes (48.2%) compared to Trump's 62.98 million votes (46.1%), a difference of 2.86 million votes, but she suffered a major defeat in the Electoral College because President Trump won in battleground states.

Silver said, "President Trump needs to regain popularity, but there is still enough time," adding, "We can also expect some help from the election system." The U.S. indirect election system could work to President Trump's advantage. He predicted, "President Trump will have to fight a two-front battle, on one side in the American Midwest and on the other in Florida and Arizona." These regions could determine the outcome of the presidential election.

Silver said, "President Trump can win re-election," but added, "However, President Trump must be fit for the office of the presidency."

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.