Goyangjeong After Kim Hyun-mi's Departure... 'Financial Expert' Lee Yong-woo Leads Ahead of 'Real Estate Expert' Kim Hyun-ah
Democratic Party candidate Lee Yong-woo (left) and United Future Party candidate Kim Hyun-ah running in Goyang-jeong, Gyeonggi Province.
Photo by each candidate's office
[Asia Economy Reporter Jin-young Hwang] The Democratic Party of Korea has nominated Lee Yong-woo, a financial expert and former CEO of Kakao Bank, for the Goyang-si Jeong district in Gyeonggi Province, where Minister of Land, Infrastructure and Transport Kim Hyun-mi is not running for re-election. The United Future Party has nominated Kim Hyun-ah, a real estate expert and member of the National Assembly.
So far, opinion polls show that the financial expert is slightly ahead.
In a poll conducted by SBS through Ipsos from the 28th to the 30th of last month targeting 500 voters aged 18 and over in the Goyang-si Jeong district, candidate Lee's support rate was 49.0%, while candidate Kim's was 31.6%.
The difference in support rates between the two candidates is 17.4 percentage points, which exceeds the margin of error (±4.4%).
By age group, candidate Lee leads among voters aged 18 to their 50s, while candidate Kim shows strength among those aged 60 and above.
When asked about the likelihood of winning, 44% supported candidate Lee, and 26.3% supported candidate Kim.
The survey method was telephone interviews with 20% landline and 80% mobile calls, with a response rate of 17.5%.
The sampling error is ±4.4 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.
In a poll conducted by YTN through Realmeter on the 28th and 29th of last month targeting 500 voters aged 18 and over residing in Goyang Jeong, candidate Lee also led candidate Kim beyond the margin of error.
Candidate Lee received 46.8%, and candidate Kim received 37.9%.
The gap between the two candidates' support rates was 8.9 percentage points, exceeding the margin of error (±4.3%).
The party support rates in this area were 43.8% for the Democratic Party and 34.7% for the United Future Party.
The difference in party support rates was 9.1 percentage points, which is very similar to the difference in candidate support rates.
Although the United Future Party nominated a real estate expert considering the backlash in the Ilsan area against the promotion of the 3rd new town development, it appears they have not effectively targeted the voter base that Minister Kim had solidified through her re-election in this area.
When asked about the likelihood of winning, candidate Lee received 47.8%, and candidate Kim received 38.8%, showing a similar gap to the support rates between the two candidates.
The survey was conducted via automated telephone responses with 60% mobile and 40% landline calls, with a response rate of 7.5%.
The sampling error is ±4.3 percentage points at a 95% confidence level.
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For more details, please refer to the website of the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission.
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