"Record Heat Expected"...Warning of the Strongest 'Super El Nino' Since 1877

Concerns Over Record-Breaking Temperatures in 2027
Potential Crisis: Food Shortages and Soaring Prices

There is growing concern that the El Nino currently forming in the tropical Pacific could develop into the most powerful event ever recorded. Experts warn that if this so-called "super El Nino" materializes, 2027 could become the hottest year on record, leading to a sharp rise in global food prices and triggering a large-scale humanitarian crisis.

According to international media outlets such as the BBC and CNN, on May 14 (local time), the latest climate prediction models from the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) forecast that the current El Nino is highly likely to reach a "very strong" phase this fall.

El Nino is a natural phenomenon in which the sea surface temperature of the Pacific near the equator rises above the average level. Recently, the temperature in some areas has risen by about 0.5 degrees Celsius compared to the average, meeting one of the criteria for determining the onset of El Nino.

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration expects El Nino to officially begin within this month. In addition, the agency projects that El Nino could develop into a "strong" or "very strong" phase by this winter.

More than half of the latest numerical prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts anticipate that the sea surface temperature in certain areas of the Pacific will be at least 2.5 degrees Celsius higher than average this fall. Some models even suggest that the increase could exceed 3 degrees. If this happens, it would surpass the current record high of 2.7 degrees set in 1877, resulting in an exceptionally powerful El Nino.

The super El Nino of 1877 is known to have lasted about 18 months, causing severe droughts and famines across Asia, Brazil, and Africa, which resulted in millions of deaths.

Professor Liz Stephens, a climate risk expert at the University of Reading in the UK, said in an interview with the BBC, "If this El Nino reaches a very strong level, there is a high possibility that the global average temperature will set an all-time record next year."

When El Nino occurs, there is a likelihood of heavy rain and flooding in northern Peru, southern Ecuador, East Africa, and Central Asia. Australia, Indonesia, and the northern regions of South America are expected to face increased risks of drought and wildfires.

Professor Stephens warned, "With the number of people already living in poverty on the rise, if drought and flooding caused by El Nino occur simultaneously, crop yields could decrease and food prices could surge even further. If the Middle East crisis continues, a massive humanitarian catastrophe could unfold."

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.