Chain Reaction from Medical School Expansion
① Expected Drop in Medical School Admission Scores
② Preference for Natural Sciences, Decline in Engineering Fields
③ Potential Record Increase in Private Education Expenses

The government's decision to increase the number of medical school admissions is expected to have a ripple effect on next year's college entrance exams, causing significant impact on this year's high school senior admissions. As the number of applicants joining medical school admissions is expected to surge, it is analyzed that the admission cutoff scores for medical schools will decline and the scale of private education expenses will also be affected.


According to the plan announced by the government on the 20th, the number of medical school students will increase by 2,000 starting from the 2025 college entrance exams. Of these, 1,639 students, accounting for 82%, will be newly allocated to medical schools outside the metropolitan area. In the metropolitan area, 361 additional students will be admitted to medical schools in the Gyeonggi and Incheon regions.


This considerable change will have an immediate impact starting next year. Once the government finalizes the details for increasing university quotas, the revised information will be reflected in the '2025 College Entrance Exam Early Admission Guidelines' announced around the end of May.


Students and parents attending the 'College Admission Information Session' are listening to the explanation. Photo by Jinhyung Kang aymsdream@

Students and parents attending the 'College Admission Information Session' are listening to the explanation. Photo by Jinhyung Kang aymsdream@

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The issue is that, since the increased demand must be met mainly by universities outside the metropolitan area starting next year, the admission cutoff scores for medical schools could be affected. In particular, with the number of seats in non-metropolitan medical schools roughly doubling, the proportion of top-tier students applying to medical schools is likely to surge. In this case, the admission cutoff scores for medical schools may drop, breaking the formula of 'top-tier students = medical school admission.' Lim Seong-ho, CEO of Jongro Academy, analyzed, "For the first time ever, the number of medical school seats in provincial areas exceeds the number of students scoring in the top grade on the CSAT," adding, "It will become possible to enter medical schools in provincial areas even without being a top-grade student."


If a nationwide concentration on medical schools occurs, the current preference for natural sciences is expected to intensify further. Already, in science and engineering universities, a considerable number of students choose to retake the exam or give up admission to pursue medical school. Kim Byung-jin, director of the Etoos Education Evaluation Research Institute, said, "The formula 'top-tier students = medical school' could deepen further due to this increase," and added, "This will naturally trigger a domino effect, lowering admission standards for engineering and natural science departments at top universities."



With frequent changes in entrance exam plans recently and the surge in medical school demand, private education expenses required for entrance exams are also expected to rise. This year, overlapping factors such as the exclusion of 'killer questions' and the announcement of medical school expansion led to the total private education expenses for elementary, middle, and high school students nationwide reaching about 27 trillion won, a record high. Considering the costs for repeat test-takers (graduates or above), which are not included in government statistics, the actual scale is expected to be even larger. Kim Seong-cheon, professor of Education Policy at Korea National University of Education, stated, "As the medical school entrance exam market expands, private education expenses will also increase," and added, "If the tendency of top-tier students to retake or defer university enrollment solidifies, it could pose challenges to the normalization of university education."


This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.

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