If Tomorrow Were the General Election Day... "People Power 33% · Democratic 26%" [PollPoll News]

"Will vote for Democratic Party" down 9%p in a month
"Will vote for Joguk New Party proportional representation" 13%

About a month before the 22nd general election, a public opinion poll showed that the People Power Party's approval rating is ahead of the Democratic Party beyond the margin of error. Respondents showed a positive reaction to the People Power Party's candidate nominations.

People Power Party Emergency Response Committee Chairman Han Dong-hoon (right) and Democratic Party Leader Lee Jae-myung are deep in thought while attending the 105th March 1st Movement Anniversary Ceremony held at the Yu Gwan-sun Memorial Hall in Jung-gu, Seoul on the 1st. [Image source=Yonhap News]

According to a regular public opinion poll jointly commissioned by Yonhap News Agency and Yonhap News TV to the polling firm Matrix (conducted on June 2-3 with 1,000 men and women aged 18 and older nationwide using a 100% wireless telephone interview method), 33% responded that they would vote for a People Power Party candidate if the election were held tomorrow, while 26% said they would vote for a Democratic Party candidate. The gap between the two major parties is 7 percentage points, which is outside the margin of error (±3.1 percentage points at a 95% confidence level).

The percentage of respondents who said they would vote for the People Power Party candidate remained unchanged compared to the previous survey (May 2-3). However, the percentage of those who said they would vote for the Democratic Party candidate decreased by 9 percentage points compared to the previous survey. In particular, the drop was significant among those in their 20s (from 34% to 13%), in Daejeon, Sejong, and Chungcheong regions (from 49% to 20%), and among Democratic Party supporters (from 83% to 72%).

The difference between middle-aged and older age groups was also clear. Respondents in their 60s answered 51% for People Power Party and 23% for Democratic Party, while those in their 70s answered 61% for People Power Party and 15% for Democratic Party. On the other hand, those in their 30s, 40s, and 50s responded that they would vote for the Democratic Party candidate at rates of 26%, 46%, and 30%, respectively, showing Democratic Party dominance. The 18-29 age group showed a close race within the margin of error, with 15% for People Power Party and 13% for Democratic Party.

By region, a majority said they would vote for People Power Party candidates in Daegu and Gyeongbuk (People Power Party 51%, Democratic Party 11%), Busan, Ulsan, and Gyeongnam (People Power Party 46%, Democratic Party 19%), Daejeon, Chungcheong, and Sejong (People Power Party 39%, Democratic Party 20%), and Seoul (People Power Party 31%, Democratic Party 24%). In Gwangju and Jeolla (Democratic Party 44%, People Power Party 8%) and Gangwon and Jeju (Democratic Party 40%, People Power Party 20%), more respondents said they would vote for Democratic Party candidates. In Incheon and Gyeonggi (Democratic Party 31%, People Power Party 30%), the race was within the margin of error.

Regarding party support regardless of affiliation, when asked "Which party is doing better in candidate nominations?" 34% said People Power Party, and 23% said Democratic Party.

The percentage of respondents who said they would vote for new party candidates was 3% for the Jo Guk New Party (tentative name), 2% for the Reform New Party, and 1% each for New Future and Green Justice Party. With the emergence of the Jo Guk New Party, the Reform New Party and Green Justice Party decreased by 2 percentage points and 1 percentage point, respectively, compared to the previous survey. New Future remained unchanged.

In the proportional representation party vote intention survey, the People Power Party satellite party, People’s Future, recorded 28%, while the progressive camp satellite party including the Democratic Party, the Democratic Reform Progressive Union (tentative name), recorded 14%. The Jo Guk New Party’s proportional representation vote intention was 13%, showing a gap within the margin of error with the Democratic Party. The Reform New Party had 3%, New Future 2%, and Green Justice Party 1%. Other parties accounted for 1%, and 6% said they had no party preference. The percentage of those with no party preference increased by 1 percentage point compared to the previous survey.

For more details, please refer to the website of the Central Election Survey Deliberation Commission.

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.