[2024 US Presidential Election] "Trump Secures Early Majority in Iowa Vote Count... Victory Expected"
Former U.S. President Donald Trump is predicted by CNN to win the Republican Iowa Caucus on the 15th (local time).
According to CNN, President Trump is leading overwhelmingly with a majority vote share surpassing other candidates from the early stages of vote counting.
The Republican presidential primary candidates include former President Trump, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, and businessman Vivek Ramaswamy. According to Edison Research, the estimated vote shares are 59.7% for former President Trump, 16.4% for former Ambassador Haley, and 15.8% for former Governor DeSantis.
The Iowa Caucus is the event that kicks off the U.S. presidential race. Republican voters in Iowa listen to speeches from candidate representatives and vote at over 1,600 locations set up across the state. The biggest point of interest in the Iowa Caucus is whether former President Trump secures a majority of the votes. If he gathers a large number of votes at this first primary starting point, it could solidify the Trump momentum early on. Especially since former President Trump faces judicial risks, including charges related to inciting the January 6, 2020, Capitol riot, he needs to secure his position as a presidential candidate quickly.
The battle for second place between former Ambassador Haley and Governor DeSantis is also intense. Haley, whose support has recently surged, plans to secure second place in Iowa and then gather a large number of votes in New Hampshire and the South Carolina primary, where she served as governor, to challenge Trump. If DeSantis falls behind Haley, he may face pressure to withdraw early, so he is working hard to win over Iowa voters.
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Meanwhile, the biggest variable in this Iowa Caucus is the weather. Extreme cold with a wind chill below minus 30℃ and heavy snowfall occurred. The outcome will depend on how many enthusiastic supporters brave the harsh conditions to reach the voting locations.
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