Trump Leads in 6 of 7 Key Battleground States in US Presidential Election

Bloomberg Approval Poll
Trump Leads Biden in 6 of 7 Battleground States
Ahead on Economy, Immigration, and Crime Issues
Voters Say "Domestic Affairs Take Priority Over Foreign Policy"

With the U.S. presidential election scheduled for November next year, a new poll shows that former President Donald Trump, the leading Republican candidate, is ahead of current President Joe Biden in six out of seven battleground states. Voters in these battleground states prioritize domestic issues such as illegal immigration over foreign policy matters like the Israel-Hamas war and the Russia-Ukraine conflict under the Biden administration.

On the 9th (local time), Bloomberg News, in collaboration with polling firm Morning Consult, conducted a survey of 4,922 voters in battleground states. The results showed former President Trump leading with 47% support across seven battleground states, surpassing President Biden’s 41% by a 6-percentage-point margin. This gap significantly exceeds the overall margin of error of 1 percentage point. Compared to last month’s survey results (Trump 47%, Biden 43%), Trump widened his lead from 4 percentage points to 6 percentage points within a month.

Among the seven battleground states, Trump led Biden by 1 to 9 percentage points in six states: North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Only in Michigan were the two candidates tied at 43%. Trump outperformed Biden across the battleground states on handling economic issues, immigration, and crime.

Although President Biden is focusing national efforts on foreign policy amid two ongoing conflicts, battleground state voters appear more concerned with domestic issues such as illegal immigration. When asked about the most important issue for next year’s election, 41% of respondents cited the economy. Immigration followed at 9%, which is three times higher than the 3% who identified the Israel war as a key issue. The percentages citing the Ukraine war (1%) and U.S.-China relations (1%) were nine times lower. Support for funding to strengthen U.S.-Mexico border security, currently under discussion in Congress as part of next year’s budget, stood at 68%, significantly higher than support for aid to Israel and Ukraine (61% and 58%, respectively).

Eli Yokley, a U.S. political analyst at Morning Consult, said, "Americans are focusing on issues that affect their daily lives and financial situations. Voters initially paid close attention to the Ukraine and Israel conflicts, but at some point, the war news fades, and they realize they have to fill their tanks at the grocery store."

Notably, battleground state voters also gave former President Trump higher marks on foreign policy. Trust in Trump’s handling of the Israel war was at 44%, ahead of Biden’s 31%. On the Ukraine war, trust in Trump was 11 percentage points higher than in Biden. Analysts note growing dissatisfaction among key Democratic constituencies, including young voters and Hispanics, who feel the Biden administration is wasting too much national power on supporting Israel.

Caroline Bai, Vice President of Morning Consult, analyzed, "President Biden is walking a fine line in the Middle East while also balancing the expectations of Democratic voters domestically. This represents a potential vulnerability for the Biden administration."

This content was produced with the assistance of AI translation services.